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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/31/07 2340Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G11  2330Z  CK
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...NEVADA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...TSTMS CONTINUE TO INCR FM SE TO NW AZ AND OVER S NV
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AZ..NEW TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP FM
COCHISE/GRAHAM COUNTIES NWWD THRU CENTRAL MOHAVE COUNTY..NUMEROUS CELL
MERGERS HAVE BEEN TAKING PLACE. GOES SOUNDER PW IMAGERY INDICATES PW
VALUES IN THE 1.5-2" RANGE. FOR THE MOST PART..TSTMS HAVE NOT BEEN
STAGNATING OVER GIVEN LOCATIONS FOR MORE THAN AN HR OR SO BUT..DUE
TO THE MERGERS AND HIGH PW'S..MANUAL STLT EST HAVE INDICATED RAINFALL
RANGING UP TO 2-3" IN AN HOUR OR LESS. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN ATTM AND
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS IS THE AREA ENCOMPASSING THE COUNTIES
OF YAVAPAI/MARICOPA/SRN CONCONINO/GILA..WHERE CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE
TO COOL SIGNIFICANTLY AND WHERE MERGERS ARE TAKING PLACE..BUT THESE
AREAS ARE ALSO TARGETED BY OUTFLOW FM INTENSE CNVTN THAT WAS EARLIER
OVER PIMA COUNTY. TSTMS THAT WERE IN PIMA COUNTY HAVE MOVED NWD INTO
PINAL COUNTY..AND THE OUTFLOW IS RAPIDLY SPREADING NWD TWD YAVAPAI/GILA
COUNTIES. WOULD EXPECT THE COVERAGE OF HVY CNVTN TO EXPAND OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HRS INVOF OF CENTRAL AZ.
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NW AZ..S NV...HVY TSTMS OVER W CONCONINO HAVE BEEN MOVG WWD..WHILE NEW
TSTMS DFEVELOP OVER ERN AND CENTRAL MOHAVE COUNTY. AT THE SAME TIME..IR
AND VIS IMAGERY SHOW WARM TOP TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEGUN OVER SRN CLARK
COUNTY/NV. IMAGERY ANIMATION SUGGESTS THAT OUTFLOW FM NW AZ CNVTN WILL
SPREAD INTO CLARK COUNTY...WHICH WOULD FURTHER ENHANCE THE STMS DEVELOPING
THERE ATTM.
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S CENTRAL NV...VERY SLOW MOVG TSTMS HAVE CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER
SWRN QUARTER OF LINCOLN COUNTY AS WELL AS E CENTRAL LINCOLN. MANUAL
STLT ESTIMATES INDICATE 1-1.5" OF RAIN HAS OCCURRED THUS FAR. OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FM THESE TWO AREAS OF CNVTN ARE LIKELY TO MERGE INVOF CENTRAL
LINCOLN COUNTY OVER THE NEXT HR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3829 11415 3681 11425 3599 11277 3224 10919 3144 10917
3133 11019 3132 11079 3278 11195 3416 11315 3554 11488
3741 11636
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