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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/31/07  1946Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G11  1930Z  CK
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...W UTAH...NEVADA...SE CALIFORNIA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...SLC...PSR...VEF...LKN...SGX...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...HVY TSTM POTENTIAL ASSOD WITH VORTS AND HIGH PW'S
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR AND VIS IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOW SEVERAL
VORT CENTERS WHICH WILL HAVE A BEARING ON CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS
AFTN/EVE. REFER TO GRAPHIC ON WEB FOR VISUAL DEPICTION. OFER NV..ONE VORT
IS OVER EXTREME SRN NV WHILE THE OTHER IS SW OF ELY. THERE HAS BEEN A SLOW
DRIFT W. GOES SOUNDER DATA SHOWS PW PLUME AND INSTABILITY AXIS OVER S/E
CENTRAL/E NV. COMPARED TO YESTERDAY SFC DEW POINTS ARE CONSIDERABLY HIER
OVER SRN NV. THE LIFT PROVIDED BY THE VORTS..DECENT INSTABILITY..AND
HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS THAN YESTERDAY SHOULD ALLOW FOR NUMEROUS HVY
TSTMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTN AND EVE. GOES SOUNDER CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
PRODUCT IS SHOWING A RAPID DECR IN CINH VALUES OVER SRN AND ERN NV.
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UT...WEAK MCV IS APPARENT...JUST SE OF MLF..MOVG NWWD..WHICH SHOULD AID
IN SOME TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE UT/NV BORDER. DEW POINTS AND PW'S
ARE LOWER HERE THAN OVER NB AND AZ..SO TSTMS MAY NOT BE AS HVY.
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AZ..VORT CENTER IS DRIFTING W OF MX..SW OF OLS. SERLY FLOW ON THE E SIDE
OF THE VORT CONTINUES TO DRAW UP MOISTURE ACRS SERN/SRN AZ. THIS..COMBINED
WITH HIGH PW'S AND INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR A FURTHER INCR IN TSTM
NUMBER AND INTENSITY. ALREADY..TSTMS HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED ACRS AN AREA
FM N OF KSAD TO SE OF KGBN. SOME CELL MERGING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED..ESP
OVER PIMA COUNTY. WITH THE HIGH PW'S AND MERGERS..RAINFALL OF 1.5-2"
IN AN HR IS LIKELY.  OVER NW AZ..INFLUENCE OF VORT OVER SRN NV..ALONG
WITH LI'S OF -5..WILL ALLOW FOR TSTMS TO INCR OVER THE AREA AND AFFECT
LOCATIONS THAT HAVE RECEIVED HVY RAIN IN RECENT DAYS. OVER SW AZ/SE
CA..VIS IMAGERY ANIMATION REVEALS MCV NW OF KNYL. VORT IS DRIFTING
W..AND WITH THE VORT MOVG INTO AREA OF SFC CONVERGENCE..WOULD EXPECT
TSTMS REDEVELOP AROUND THE VORT. DEW POINT ARE QUITE HIGH..MID TO UPPR
60'S..SO POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR VERY HVY RAINFALL.
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SEE GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3956 11552 3552 11308 3086 11033 3174 11422 3402 11634
3878 11694
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