ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/31/07 0146Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0130Z  CK
.
LOCATION...W CENTRAL/SW TO CENTRAL KANSAS
.
ATTN WFOS...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...STNRY TSTMS N OF DDC..NEW CELL FORMING TO THE W
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MANUAL STLT ESTIMATES INDICATE OVER 2"
OR RAIN INVOF S HODGEMAN/N FORD COUNTIES BTWN 2215Z-0130Z. A NEW WARM
TOP CELL HAS DEVELOPED OVER W FORD COUNTY DURING THE PAST HR. OTHER
WARM TOP CELLS ARE OVER NESS COUNTY..TO THE N..AND ON EITHER SIDE OF
THE CO/KS BORDER.
.
SEVERAL FACTORS POINT TWD FURTHER INCR OF CNVTN OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS
OVER PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS VORT CENTER
OVER SE CO..WHILE GOES STLT WINDS AND WV IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOW UPPR
DIFFLUENCE OVER W KS. THIS..COMBINED WITH SERLY LL JET PER PROFILER DATA
FEEDING INTO THE CNVTN..AND STRONG 850MB THETA-E RIDGE SITTTING OVER WRN
HALF OF KS..SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. LIGHT
AND DIFFLUENT UPPR LVL FLOW WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR LTL/SLOW MOVEMENT OF
TSTMS. PW'S ARE HIGH..1.7"PLUS. THIS..PLUS SLOW MOVEMENT OF TSTMS WILL
RESULT IN SOME LOCATIONS PSBLY PICKING UP A FEW INCHES OF RAIN. STLT
TRENDS ALSO SUGGEST THAT THAT MCS FORMATION IS PSBL AS WELL.
.
A GRAPHIC FOR THIS MESSAGE WILL BE AVAILABLE ON THE WEB IN APPX 10
MINUTES..AT ADDRESS BELOW.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3838 9948 3737 9961 3737 9961 3725 10129 3828 10125
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-