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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/29/07 1521Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1515Z	DS
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...CRP...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...NEW CELLS IN VAL VERDE CO..HEAVIEST RAINS MOVING SW
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWS THE CLUSTER OF CELLS
THAT HAS PRODUCED SO MUCH RAIN OVER FRIO/MEDINA COUNTIES AND MORE RECENTLY
ZAVALA COUNTY IS SLOWLY SNAKING ITS WAY SWWD TDS THE RIO GRANDE. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS BEST MOISTURE CNVG LIES ALONG THE US/MX BORDER INVOF W
DIMMIT/S MAVERICK COUNTIES. SRLY WINDS FROM DEEP SRN TX CONTINUE TO PUMP
RICH MOISTURE OF WELL OVER 2" PW VALUES NWD INTO THE SERN SIDE OF THE
CLUSTER. VIS IMAGERY SHOWS NEW CELLS HAVE FORMED IN SRN VAL VERDE/SRN
EDWARDS COUNTY THAT APPEAR TO BE ANCHORED THERE. THE SAME IS TRUE FOR
A SMALL CELL IN SUTTON CO THOUGH IT DOES NOT SEEM TO BE PRODUCING AS
HVY/CONCENTRATED RAIN AS THE CELLS TO THE S. VIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A
LOT OF SMALL CU AND SOME TOWERING CU OVER MAVERICK/KINNEY COUNTIES THAT
WILL LIKELY INITIATE OVER THE NEXT 30-60 MIN..POSSIBLY FILLING IN ENOUGH
TO CONNECT THE TWO AREAS OF CELLS. ESTIMATE THAT CELLS IN S VAL VERDE AND
ALONG THE KINNEY/EDWARDS CO BORDER ARE POSSIBLE OF PRODUCING A SMALL AREA
OF 1.5-2.5" OVER NEXT 2-3 HRS. 6 HR HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWS A MAX OF 6.8"
ENDING 1430Z ALONG THE MEDINA/FRIO CO BORDER THOUGH PER EARLIER MANUEL
STLT ESTIMATES AND THE FACT THAT AUTOESTIMATES DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE
SEVERAL MERGERS THAT OCCURRED..RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THAT AREA WERE LIKELY
AN INCH OR TWO HIGHER. 1 HR ESTIMATES SHOW AN AREA OF 1-1.3" IN THE PAST
HR ENDING 1445Z OVER ZAVALA COUNTY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1" LIKELY FALLING
SINCE THEN. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATES AND GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3040 9986 2911 9842 2798 10020 2947 10122
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