ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/24/07 2324Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 2311Z	DS
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LOCATION...W NEW MEXICO...S/E ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...CNVTN CREEPING ACROSS THE BORDER INTO PIMA COUNTY..DRIER STORMS
ALONG THE NM/AZ BORDER
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCS ALONG THE US/MX BORDER S
OF PIMA COUNTY CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN IN THE EXTREMELY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT. OVERSHOOTING TOP HAS MADE A PUSH N TWDS THE US BORDER BUT
CURRENTLY IS STILL JUST S OF RADAR COVERAGE. NEW CELLS HAVE FORMED ON THE
NE SIDE OF THE MCS OVER SE PIMA/SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES AND ARE NOW STRETCHING
INTO WRN COCHISE AS WELL. THOUGH MOISTURE PLUME IS MORE PREVALENT FROM
S CENTRAL AZ NWD THROUGH W AZ INTO THE SE NV/SW UT AREA..THETA-E AXIS
FROM OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS AN EXPANDED AREA OF INSTABILITY IN SRN
AZ FROM THE PREVIOUS HR THAT INCLUDES MOST OF SE AZ. CELLS MOVING WWD
FROM NM HAVE SHOWN RAPID DVLPMT AT TIMES AND THEN RAPID COLLAPSES MAKING
FOR QUICK BURSTS OF HVY RAINS. SOMEWHAT CONCERNED DUE TO VIS/IR IMAGERY
TRENDS OF CELLS BUILDING NEWD THROUGH COCHISE COUNTY AND THE CLUSTER
ALONG THE NM/AZ BORDER BUILDING SWD THROUGH N GREENLEE COUNTY. VIS SHOWS
CU BEGINNING TO FORM IN THIS AREA AND MAY BE THE PRECURSOR TO A POSSIBLE
MERGER IN A FEW HRS TIME. 2311Z VIS IMAGERY SHOWS NEW CELLS INITIATING
IN CENTRAL AND NW COCHISE INTO SW GRAHAM SO IT SEEMS FEASIBLE. SEE WEB
ADDRESS IN ABOUT 5-10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3535 11043 3485 10854 3083 10971 3156 11317 3261 11304
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