ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/23/07 1430Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1415Z  HYDROESTIMATOR THRU 1345Z GG
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LOCATION...NE MISSOURI...SW IOWA...NE KANSAS...SE NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...MCS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV LOOP SHOW MCS CONTINUING TO ACCELERATE
SWWARD AS FLOW BEHIND HAS BEEN STEADILY INCREASING IN RESPONSE TO
THE SQUEEZING OF THE FLOW AS THE UPPER LOW TO THE EAST HAS BEGUN TO
RETROGRADE AND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE TO THE NW IS BEING INFLUENCED SEWARD
IN RESPONSE OF MCS OUTFLOW IN ND.  OVERALL THIS IS IMPACTING THE MCS BY
SHIFTING ITS TRACK MORE WESTERLY INTO NE KS AND AIDING GOOD UPWIND FLOW
FOR UPSTREAM BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION THAT HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG
THE STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS ACROSS THE DISCUSSED AREA PARALLEL
TO THE CELL MOTION VECTORS.  THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE AS SELY OUTFLOW
FROM MCS OVER MO HAS NOT IMPACTED MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT TOWARD THE WEST
YET...UPPER LEVEL FLOW SHOULD HELP REDUCE CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THE FRONT AND FOCUS THE CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT MAKING IN
MORE LINEAR AND HAVE A TENDENCY TO TRAIN CONVECTIVE CELLS ALONG IT.

EARLY MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS QUITE A FEW OVERSHOOTING TOPS
THAT HAVE REMAINED RELATIVELY STATIONARY WITH TO GOOD DEEP MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE/FLUX...PARTICULARLY OVER BROWN COUNTY KS, S GREEN/N
GUTHRIE COUNTY IA AND NOW NEW DEVELOPMENT OVER S JACKSON KS AND A LINE
FROM PAGE TO ADAIR COUNTIES IN SW IA.  TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -70C SO
AUTOMATED SAT. ESTIMATES ARE RUNNING WELL THOUGH SLIGHTLY LOW AT GIVEN
OVERSHOOTING TOP LOCATIONS TO TO THE CYCLING COLD/WARM/COLD WITH EACH
NEW IMAGE...THOUGH 3HR TOTALS ARE RANGING FROM 2" OVER BROWN COUNTY AS OF
1345Z TO 3.4" IN GUTHRIE COUNTY IA.  WARMER TOPPED CELLS LIKE THOSE OVER
WANAUNSEE COUNTY KS WERE POORLY ESTIMATED...WHEN LOOKING AT THE GRAPHIC.


ADDITIONAL 1.0" CAN BE ADDED TO BROWN COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF SW IA,
NE MO OVER THE LAST 45MINUTES TO COMPINSATE FOR TIME GAP.

3HR TOTALS...HYDRO    1045-1345Z
COUNTY         ST    TOTAL
BROWN          KS      2.0"
NW TAYLOR      IA      3.1"
GUTHRIE                3.4"
N DEKALB       MO      2.4"
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4214 9516 4154 9337 3831 9547 3920 9711
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