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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/23/07 1224Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 THRU 1215Z GG
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LOCATION...N OKLAHOMA...E KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...DEEP LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG
N-S FRONT ACROSS EASTERN KS INTO N OK IS THE FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT AND
EXPANSION OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA.  WV LOOP SHOWS A
MCS DROPPING OUT OF MN INTO IA WITH THE VORT MAX IMPLIED UNDER THE CIRRUS
SHIELD. ADDITIONALLY A WEAK TROF COULD BE SEEN ROTATING OVER THE TOP OF
THE RIDGE IN E WY AND CONNECTING UP TO VORT LEADING TO SOME ADDITIONAL
COOLER AIR ALOFT FOR INCREASED DESTABILIZATION.  GOOD SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL WINDS PER WIND PROFILE NETWORK AND NEARLY 180 UPPER LEVEL WINDS
ALOFT PER SATELLITE DERIVED WIND VECTORS POINT TO VERY SLOW  MOTIONS
OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GOOD MOISTURE FLUX OF PWS IN EXCESS OF 1.6-1.7"
PER GOES SOUNDER.

CURRENTLY...THUNDERSTORM OVER WABAUNSEE AND COWLEY COUNTIES IN KS
HAVE VERY NICE COLD TOPS NEARING -60C WITH THE CAPABILITY OF RATES OF
1.5"/HR...BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY THE UPWIND EDGES OF THE TOPS ARE STATIONARY
OR SLIGHTLY BACKBUILDING TO THE FLOW.  THIS HAS LEAD TO ESTIMATES OF 2"
OVER COWLEY AND 3" OVER WABAUNSEE SO FAR.  IT ALSO APPEARS THAT THE
LINE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP INTO N OK INTO KAY AND NOBLE COUNTIES (NOW
AT -50C) AS WELL AS A FIELD OF VERY LOW LEVEL CU OVER NE KS.  NEW 1215Z
IMAGE...JUST IN...CONTINUES UPWIND DEVELOPMENT OF WABAUNSEE STORM THOUGH
TOPS ARE A BIT WARMER...WHILE THE COWLEY STORM HAS SHIFTED SOUTH A BIT
BUT COOLED IN THE PROCESS INDICATING A SLIGHTLY HIGHER RATE POSSIBLE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3938 9666 3935 9522 3618 9601 3621 9763
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