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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/22/07 0401Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G11  0330Z   G12 0345Z  CK
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...MCS NE OF CGZ
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SMALL MCS HAS BEEN MOVG SWWD ACRS
GILA AND N/N CENTRAL PINAL COUNTIES AND E MARICOPA COUNTY..WITH CELL
MERGERS OCCURRING. LATEST MERGING HAS TAKEN PLACE OVER N/N CENTRAL PINAL
COUNTY..WHERE MANUAL STLT ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT 1-2" HAS BEEN OCCURRING
IN LESS THAN AN HOUR. AS THE MCS MOVES SWWD..IT IS PUSHING INTO SE-NW
PW BAND..WITH PW'S RANGING UP TO 1.7" PER GOES SOUNDER DATA. ..WHICH
IS AROUND 150 PER CENT OF NORMAL.  MCS ENTERING INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
PW ENVIRONMENT SHOULD LEAD MCS..AT THE VERY LEAST.. MAINTAINING ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF SFC DATA
SHOWS THAT MCS IS ALSO HEADED TWD ZONE OF SFC CONVERGENCE. THIS..IN
CONJUNCTION WITH HIGH PW'S..SHOULD FAVOR SOME FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.
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WITH LATEST TREND SHOWING SWD BUILD OF CNVTN..ALONG WITH SWWD MOVEMENT
OF MCS..CGZ WILL BE VULNERABLE FOR HVY RAIN REACHING THE AREA OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HRS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3372 11087 3290 11110 3279 11259 3357 11267
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