ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/21/07 2110Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2045Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...WESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...MAF...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...COLD TOP CONVECTION OVER SE NM
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING VERY SLOW
MOVING CONVECTION OVER W CNTRL LEA COUNTY/SE CHAVES COUNTY/NE EDDY COUNTY
SINCE ABOUT 1745Z.  AUTOMATED/MANUAL ESTIMATES SHOWING 2.0"-3.5" IN SOME
LOCATIONS AS OVERSHOOTING TOPS WERE AT -70C AND STORMS LOOKED TO REMAIN
STATIONARY AND MERGED WITH CELLS MOVING IN FROM THE ESE.

2045Z IMAGE SHOWING MORE RAPIDLY COOLING CONVECTION IN CNTRL EDDY COUNTY
WITH CLEAR OVERSHOOTING TOP ON VIS IMAGERY INVOF KCNM.  EXPECTING RATES
UP TO 1.5"/30 GIVEN PW VALUES ARE BETWEEN 1.9"-2.0" PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS
DATA AND THE SLOW MOVEMENT PLUS THE VERY RAPID DEVELOPMENT.

FOR THIS EVENING...EXPECTING ANY CONVECTION OVER SE NE/WRN TX TO PRODUCE
RATES OF 1.0"-1.5"/30 MIN AT TIMES GIVEN MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE.
GENERAL WWD MOVEMENT OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS MOISTURE
POOL LOOKS TO BE SLOWLY DRAGGED WWD WITH THE UPPER LOW NOW OVER THE
CNTRL AZ/NM BORDER.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR ATTACHED MESSAGE GRAPHIC/HYDROESTIMTOR
GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3351 10343 3246 10279 3176 10419 3225 10482 3344 10461
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