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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/19/07 0735Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0715Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...PENNSYLVANIA...MARYLAND...WEST VIRGINIA...OHIO...
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ATTN WFOS...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...
ATTN RFCS...MARFC...OHRFC...
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EVENT...OVERALL SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW SLOW WEAKENING OF MCS...MORE
CONCERNED FOR ANY PROBLEMS THIS AFTERNOON...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TRENDS ON SATELLITE ARE SHRINKAGE OF AREAL
EXTENT OF COLD CLOUD TOPS WITH MCS AS IT HAS SHIFTED EAST ACROSS INDIANA
AND OHIO AND SLIGHT AND SLOW WARMING OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS.  IF THIS TREND
CONTINUES...DON'T FORESEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF ENOUGH RAINFALL FOR MUCH
PROBLEMS THIS MORNING.  AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
WEAKEN AS IT GETS FURTHER AHEAD OF MAIN PW MOISTURE AXIS...STRONGEST
INSTABILITY AND INTO HIGHER SURFACE PRESSURES AND AWAY FROM BEST SURFACE
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.   BUT THIS CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...DESPITE WEAKENING
WILL STILL GIVE AREAS FROM CENTRAL OHIO THRU WESTERN PA LOCAL HVY RAINS
THAT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS
FRONT APPROACHES COULD EASILY HEIGHTEN FF THREAT WITH THAT ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ON TOP OF THIS MORNINGS HVY RAINS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
CURRENT ACTIVITY AND ALSO JET (NOW 120KT SPEED MAX OVER LOWER MICHIGAN)
AND SHORT WAVE FEATURES (WISCONSIN TO ILLINOIS) FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
HVY RAIN STORMS LATER ON TODAY AND EVENING.
LATEST NESDIS HYDROESTIMATES SHOWED MAX RAINFALL ESTIMATES OF
3.5" 04-07Z CENTERED ON HOLMES COUNTY...GRAPHIC OF ESTIMATES ON HOME
PAGE ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4108 8302 4077 7856 3955 7896 3917 8343 4050 8384
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