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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/18/07 1358Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1345Z GG
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LOCATION...RHODE ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...LONG ISLAND NEW
YORK... LOCATION...NEW JERSEY...
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ATTN WFOS...BOX...OKX...PHI...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
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EVENT...CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF CLUSTER/LINE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...A VERY COLD WEDGE OF CONVECTION CONTINUES
ACROSS E LONG ISLAND WITH UPWIND REDEVELOPMENT OF CELLS ACROSS NJ/SE NY IN
RESPONSE A RAPIDLY MOVING BUT SHEARING SHORTWAVE THAT MOVED ACROSS PA INTO
S NY WITHIN A MUCH BROADER LARGE SCALE TROF ACROSS ALL OF NEW ENGLAND.
STRONG JET DYNAMICS ARE AIDING VERY HIGH UVV INVOF OF LONG ISLAND AND
SWWARD WHERE SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE CONTINUES TO BE MAXIMIZED WHICH
SHOULD AID THE REDEVELOPING CELLS.

CELL OVER SUFFOLK COUNTY NY IS PROGRESSING EASTWARD QUITE WELL BUT MANY
SATELLITE FF INDICATORS BEING VERY STRONG WITH THIS CELL.  OVERSHOOTING
TOPS TO -70C WITHIN A HIGH DEEP MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT WITH PWS IN EXCESS
OF 2.0"... VERY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT FROM DUAL JET STRUCTURE IN THE
AREA (RIGHT ENTRANCE AND LEFT EXIT OF APPOACHING SPEED MAX)...GOOD SE LL
FLOWING INTO THE COMPLEX ALL POINT TO A CELL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3"/HR
RATES. MANUAL TOTALS OF 2.5" ALONG THE STRIP OF LONG ISLAND HAVE BEEN
ESTIMATED SO FAR... THIS AHEAD OF UPWIND REDEVELOPMENT FROM INCREASING
MIDLEVEL FLOW LEADING TO ADDITIONAL FF THREAT.

NJ...CELLS ARE IMPRESSIVE BUT MOVING IN A BETTER ORIENTED LINE THAT SHOULD
DECREASE TRAINING AFFECTS.  HOWEVER... ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT UPWIND
PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SW PORTION OF THE LINE IS LIKELY AS BUBBLING CU
CAN BE SEEN IN CONUS VIS IMAGERY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4162 7176 4073 7077 3993 7439 4058 7481
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