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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/18/07 1105Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1045Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...IOWA...
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ATTN WFOS...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX REESTABLISHED A LITTLE WEST AND NW IN IOWA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WHILE PIECE OF TONIGHT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
HAS BROKEN AWAY AND NOW MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND INDIANA
COUNTIES...BACKBUILDING AND ESTABLISHMENT OF NEW CONVECTIVE AREA HAS
FORMED NEW CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CENTERED ON CENTRAL TO NE IOWA.
TRAINING CELLS IN THIS CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IN WEDGE IN W/NW PART OF COMPLEX
NOW AFFECTING AREA FROM KOSSUTH THRU HANCOCK WHERE MOISTURE TRANSPORT
INTO THIS PART OF THE STORM ADEQUATE ENOUGH TO HELP PRODUCE 1-2 INCHES
OF RAINFALL IN BURSTS OVER A 30-60 MINUTE TIME PERIOD AND LONGER TERM
AMOUNTS OF 2-3 INCHES PER 90 MINUTES TO 3HRS TIME PERIOD.
JETLET FROM BACK EDGE WEDGE ALSO HELPING KEEP NE IA CONVECTIVE
ACTIVE...ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF NORTHERN
PORTION OF EARLIER CONVECTION...BUT CENTRAL AND SOUTH PORTIONS FROM
EARLY HVY RAIN STILL GETTING HVY RAIN BURSTS...IE CENTERED ON DUBUQUE
AND N JACKSON...SO BELIEVE TOTALS HERE WILL CONTAINING HVY RAIN BURSTS
BACK TO 05Z.  PW MOIST AXIS FROM NW IA ACROSS IA AND THRU N AND CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND THIS PARELLEL THE BEST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW FOR VERY EFFICENT
PROUDUCTION OF HVY RAINFALL...WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE AT LEAST THRU MID
MORNING OR 15Z.
AS MENTIONED EARLIER IN THIS MESSAGE...EARLIER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX HAS
BROKEN AWAY AND WILL CONTINUE GIVING VERY HVY RAIN TO E CENTRAL IL
INTO INDIANA....BUT THERE IS MOVEMENT AND NOT AS MUCH TRAINING HVY RAIN
BURSTS...SO NOT ANTICIPATING AS MUCH PROBLEMS HERE AS OPPOSED TO IA
INTO NW ILLINOIS.    WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS 6HR MAX CENTERED ON DUBUQUE COUNTY
IA AT 5.7" 0430-1030Z.  SEE GRAPHIC ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW AND
ALSO SATELLITE GRAPHIC ANALYSIS ON WEB PAGE ADDRESS BELOW.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4362 9480 4345 9297 4196 9003 4135 9088 4224 9426
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