ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/18/07 0715Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0700Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:0140Z  DMSP SSMI: 0343Z/0256Z
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LOCATION...N CALIFORNIA...SW OREGON...
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ATTN WFOS...MFR...EKA...
ATTN RFCS...NWRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...JET INTERACTING WITH BEST MOISTURE AND INDUCING SHORT WAVE
SQUEEZING RAIN OUT ACROSS N CA/SW OREGON...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...COMBINATION OF UNUSUAL LOW HEIGHTS...JET
FAR SOUTH AND INTERACTION WITH PW MOISTURE PLUME BETTER THAN 175 PERCENT
OF NORMAL NOW REACHING ITS PEAK ALONG THE FAR N CA COAST INTO SW OREGON
AS JET AND SHORT WAVE INDUCE WAVE ON FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WAS LIFTING
NORTH ALONG N CA COAST.  EARLIER MICROWAVE RAIN RATES WERE MAXING OUT
FROM 0.08"/HR TO 0.15"/HR AND CAN EXPECT RAIN RATES THIS HIGH OR MAYBE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN FAVORED SOUTHERLY OROGRAPHIC AREAS FROM CAPE MENDOCINO
NORTHWARD INTO COASTAL SW OREGON.
MOISTURE PLUMEWAS CENTERED 28N/140W TO 32N/130W TO JUST OFFSHORE SFO BAY
AND INTO CAPE MENDOCINO...WITH MAX PW VALUES NEAR 1.7" WITH SSMI AND 1.6"
WITH AMSU AND 700/850MB WIND FLOW ADVECTING SHORT BUT POTENTIAL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO NW CA/SW OREGON.  STILL HOLDING ON TO IN-HOUSE 6HR RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 0.2" TO 0.5" BASED ON RAIN RATES OFFSHORE...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN MOST FAVORED SOUTH FACING OROGRAPHIC AREAS.  WITH PW MOISTURE PLUME
RIDGE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA FLATTENING...CAN EXPECT MOISTURE PLUME TO
PENETRATE FURTHER INLAND LATER TONIGHT/WED AND WEAKEN...BUT NOT BEFORE
BRINGING DAILY AND MONTHLY RAINFALL RECORDS TO MANY SPOTS FAR N CA/SW
OREGON.   SEE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS ON WEB PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4383 12397 4124 12311 3999 12510 4314 12610
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