ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/16/07 2259Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2245Z  CK
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LOCATION...IOWA..ILLINOIS
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ATTN WFOS...DVN...ARX...DMX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MCS TRENDS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPDATE TO 2002Z SPENES...THE SD/MN MCS
HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE SE WHILE NEW MCS BEGAN TO EVOLVE INVOF CID/IA BTWN
20-21Z.  MCS NR CID HAS BEEN STEADILY EXPANDING..WITH ONLY A SLIGHT DRIFT
S. CONCERNED ABOUT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO THE NW/N BECOMING THE FOCUS FOR
NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT AS UPSTREAM MCS OUTFLOW APPROACHES. THROWN INTO THE
MIX ATTM ARE TWO RAPIDLY DEVELOPING CELLS TO THE NW AND NE OF ALO. SFC
CONVERGENCE MAX..PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS..THAT WAS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS
SPENES IS STILL IN PLACE OVER ERN HALF OF IA..WITH CENTER SW OF ALO/NW
OF CID.
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STLT TRENDS POINT TWD SIGNIFICANT HVY RAIN EVENT OVER PORTIONS OF ERN
HALF OF IA FOR TONIGHT...WITH MN/N IA COMPLEX MERGING WITH DEVELOPING
TSTMS AND MCS MENTIONED ABOVE. THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH HIGH PW'S..RANING
ABOVE 1.5" PER GOES SOUNDER..WILL RESULT IN VERY HVY RAINFALL WITH 2-3"
LIKELY...AND SOME RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3-4" OR MORE PSBL TONIGHT.
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NW IL...WITH ANTICIPATED SCENARIO OF MERGING MCS'S AND OVERALL EXPANSION
OF CONVECTION..WOULD EXPECT EXPANSION WILL SPREAD INTO NW IL..ESP LATER
TONIGHT.
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ASSOCIATED GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX
10 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4333 9164 4229 9088 4230 8975 4097 9068 4080 9131 4086
9285 4271 9387 4332 9433
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