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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/17/07 0907Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0845Z
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LOCATION...LOUISIANA...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CONTINUED MOD RAINS NR TX/LA BORDER...POSSIBLE TRAINING CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MOD/OCCASIONALLY HVY RAINS CONTINUE TO
PUSH EWD FROM E CENTRAL TX INTO WRN LA. THOUGH RAINFALL RATES HAVE NOT
BEEN EXCESSIVE..TOTAL AMOUNTS ARE BEGINNING TO ADD UP. AUTOESTIMATOR
SHOWS TWO MAIN AREAS OF 2-3" AMOUNTS FOR THE PAST 3 HRS ENDING 0815Z..ONE
IN E SHELBY COUNTY TX AND EXTENDING INTO SABINE PARISH AND THE OTHER
WHICH MAY BE SLIGHTLY OVERDONE INVOF HOUSTON/N LEON COUNTIES...BELIEVE
AMOUNTS IN THE RANGE OF 1.5-2.5" ARE MORE LIKELY IN THE LEON/HOUSTON
COUNTY AREA. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC.
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LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR..NOTICE FAST MOVING S/WV THAT RESULTED FROM THE
MCS IN W TX EARLIER TONIGHT. ITS INFLUENCE CAN BE SEEN WELL ON RADAR AS
ARC OF CELLS IS SEEN FROM HAMILTON COUNTY TO FREESTONE COUNTY. STORMS
JUST TO THE W ARE SEEN SINKING SWD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS S/WV. CONCERN
IS THAT S/WV INFLUENCE WILL ALLOW FOR TRAINING CELLS EWD ACROSS COUNTIES
IN E CENTRAL TX THAT HAVE ALREADY HAD SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS PINPOINTS AREA JUST SE OF ACT SHOWING STRONG SFC MOISTURE
CNVG THERE AND STLT WINDS ARE SHOWING SLIGHTLY DVG UPPER LVL WINDS AS
WELL. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A WATCH ON CELLS OVER HOUSTON COUNTY AS NEW CELLS
GROWING EWD MAY CONNECT WITH THEM AND PROMPTING SOME BRIEF BACKBUILDING
OVER THE AREA UNTIL S/WV MOVES THE STORMS ALONG. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR
GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3229 9325 3137 9286 3058 9544 3162 9640
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