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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/13/07 2058Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2045Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W MISSISSIPPI...N LOUISIANA...S ARKANSAS...NE TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...FWD...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...NE TEXAS INTO SW AR/NW LA  AND NE LA/SE AR INTO MS ACTIVITY...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PISTURE HAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PUSHING SE THRU S KS....BASIC FLOW WESTERLY OKLAHOMA AND NWLY ACROSS
AREAS OF CONCERN.  RAIN AREA ORIENTATION BASICALLY PERPENDICULAR TO
FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS GENERALLY FASTER THAN 30KTS.  NO NOT TOO
CONCERNED ABOUT SLOW MOVEMENT OR TRAINING ACTIVITY IN THE TWO AREAS.
BUT PW MOISTURE AT A MAXIMUM FROM CENTRAL AND N CENTRAL TO NE TEXAS
ACROSS S AR/N LA INTO MS AND SO COLD TOP CAN EASILY GIVE 1-2 INCHES IN
A 30-60 MINUTE TIME PERIOD FOR SHORT LIVED HVY RAIN/ISOLATED FF THREAT.
CONVECTION ORIENTATION A LITTLE MORE WESTERLY IN NE TEXAS...SO WILL HAVE
TO KEEP AN EYE ON THAT AREA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE LA-TX BORDER NEXT
FEW HRS...AND ACROSS SW AR...BUT CLOUD TOPS AND ORGANIZATION NOT AS GOOD
ACROSS SW AR.  WELL TO THE EAST...MOST OF THE STRONG CONVECTION THAT HAS
MOVED INTO WEST CENTRAL MS ORIENTED TO GIVE AN HR OR TWO OF HVY RAIN BUT
AGAIN PW MOISTURE NEAR 2.0" ONLY ABOUT 125 PERCENT OF NORMAL...SO CAN'T
SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF WIDESPREAD FF IN THE SHORT TERM.   WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3422 9072 3404 8965 3166 9082 3244 9600 3379 9431
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