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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/13/07 1038Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1015Z	DS
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LOCATION...N TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MCS IN OK LIKELY TO MERGE WITH CLUSTER IN TX PANHANDLE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCS IN CENTRAL OK HAS BEEN TRYING TO
BACKBUILD TO THE W OVER PAST HR AND HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT SUCCESSFUL WITH
MOD RAINS STRETCHING INTO HEMPHILL COUNTY IN THE N TX PANHANDLE. MORE
CONCERNED WITH THE CELLS THAT HAVE BEEN BACKBUILDING SWWD INTO SW OK TWDS
CLUSTER THAT HAS FINALLY STARTED TO MOVE E OUT OF TX PANHANDLE WITH S/WV
DRIFTING INTO SW OK. MERGER LOOKS AS IF IT WILL OCCUR INVOF LTS/HBR IN
NEXT 1-2 HRS. THETA-E AXIS RUNS RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT EDGE OF THE S/WV
ENTERING OK AND WITH PW VALUES OF AROUND 2" NOW SEEN ON GOES SOUNDER IN
NE/N CENTRAL TX AND OK HVY RAINS ARE ALMOST CERTAIN FOR SW OK. ALSO OF
MAJOR CONCERN IS THE LINE OF VERY HVY RAINS SHIFTING SWD TWDS THE RED
RIVER AREA SINCE MANY OF THE COUNTIES ALONG THE TX/OK BORDER ARE STILL
FEELING THE EFFECTS OF WEEKS OF HVY RAINS. CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE WARMED
A GOOD BIT ON THE MCS BUT CONSIDERING RADAR TRENDS HAVE SHOWN RENEWED
ACTIVITY IN THE NRN PART AND STRONG CELLS STILL MOVING SWD..WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF TOPS COOL ONCE AGAIN. S/WV APPROACHING FROM THE E WILL NOT
ONLY SERVE TO ENHANCE ACTIVITY BUT COULD ALSO STALL SWD MOVEMENT..AND
THIS LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE OCCURRING ALONG THE OK/TX BORDER IN NEXT FEW
HRS. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES FOR THE PAST 3 HRS OVER OK ENDING 1000Z
SHOW A GOOD SIZE AREA OF 2-3" FROM MKO TO SWO IN OK AND ANOTHER AREA OF
2-4" INVOF AND JUST NW OF OKC.
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IN THE N TX PANHANDLE..A FEW CELLS CONTINUE TO BACKBUILD FROM THE MAIN
CLUSTER WHICH HAS STARTED TO MOVE EWD WITH THE S/WV. THESE CELLS ARE
PRODUCING HVY RAINS JUST SE/E OF LBB AND A MERGER LOOKS LIKE IT HAS
JUST OCCURRED OR IS ABOUT TO OCCUR PER IR IMAGERY OVER W KING/E DICKENS
COUNTIES. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS FAIRLY STRONG MOISTURE CNVG IS STILL
PRESENT FROM LBB TO CDS AND NOW EXTENDING EWD TO PRX AS WELL. CELLS
SHOULD MOVE ALONG WITH CLUSTER EWD BUT WILL HAVE TO KEEP A VERY CLOSE
EYE ON THEM AS AUTOESTIMATOR ALREADY SHOWS AMOUNTS NEARING 1" UP TO 10Z
AND ADDITIONAL RAINS HAVE FALLEN SINCE THEN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3625 10102 3619 9486 3318 9486 3271 10207
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