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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/12/07 1230Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: 1215Z   GOES-12  TEB
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LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...TSA...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...OUTFLOW CONVECTION FROM MCC
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED LINE OF CONVECTION
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE EARLIER MCC CONTINUES TO SINK
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THRU NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.  1215Z ENHANCED IR SHOWS
SOME WARMING OF THE MOST INTENSE CLOUD TOPS BUT ESTIMATED MAX RAIN
RATES ARE STILL BETWEEN 2.50" AND 3.00" PER HALF-HOUR.  THESE RATES
SHOULD ALLOW SHORT-TERM FLASH-FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN WOODWARD
AND DEWEY COUNTIES BACK INTO ELLIS COUNTY.  WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
THIS AREA IS BEING AIDED IN THE UPPER LEVELS BY SOMEWHAT STRONGER
WINDS AT THE TOP OF A SHORT-WAVE RIDGE AXIS NORTH OF THE DEAD COMPLEX
IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  ALONG WITH GOOD SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
ALONG A 2.00" PLUS PW AXIS...RAIN RATES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IMPRESSIVE.
IT IS FORTUNATE THAT THE FFG VALUES ARE SOMEWHAT HIGHER HERE THAN IN
MOST PARTS OF OKLAHOMA FURTHER EAST.
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WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH AREAS EAST OF THIS REGION...ESPECIALLY UNDER
THE DEBRIS CLOUD SHIELD ALONG THE KANSAS, OKLAHOMA BORDER IN OSAGE AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES.  EARLY VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS EMBEDDED OVERSHOOTING
CLOUD TOPS IN THIS AREA AND MOVEMENT MAY NOT BE AS QUICK AND WILL ALLOW
FOR A SOMEWHAT LONGER EVENT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3657 9702 3526 9697 3533 9982 3647 9982 3648 9984
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