ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/12/07 0805Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0745Z  JS
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LOCATION...WEST CENTRAL TO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...DDC...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...STRONGEST ACTIVITY WITHIN VERY COLD TOPPED COMPLEX NOW SLOWLY
SHIFTING TO THE SE.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES FOR THE
PAST 2-3 HOURS CENTERED ON NESS/HODGEMAN COUNTIES ARE IN THE 3-4" RANGE
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 4" POSSIBLE. IR IMAGERY AND RADAR COMPOSITE
LOOPS BOTH NOW INDICATE SOME SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT TO THE STRONGEST
CELLS WITHIN THE COMPLEX ALTHOUGH SOME HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING CELLS STILL
APPEAR TO BE LINGERING AROUND NESS/HODGEMAN COUNTIES WHICH COULD ADD A
BIT MORE TO THE TOTALS THERE BEFORE ENTIRE FOCUS SHIFTS SE IN THE NEXT
HOUR. EXTREMELY COLD CLOUD TOPS OF LOWER THAN -80C ARE ACCOMPANYING
THIS ACTIVITY WHICH LEADS TO ESTIMATED RAIN RATES OF WELL OVER 2"/HR NOW
MOVING INTO FORD/KIOWA/EDWARDS/STAFFORD COUNTIES. DESPITE THE INCREASE IN
MOVEMENT OF THE CONVECTION STILL BELIEVE THAT VERY INTENSE RAINFALL RATES
COULD EASILY LEAD TO 2-3" IN A 1-2 HOUR TIMER PERIOD. RECENT PROFILER DATA
FROM SW KS SHOWS EVEN MORE OF AN INCREASE TO SSW 850MB WIND COMPONENT
WITH 35KTS NOTED. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ALSO NOW SEEMS TO SHOW SFC BASED
CONVERGENCE AIDING THE ACTIVITY WITH S AND EVEN SW SFC WINDS TO THE
SOUTH OF THE ACTIVITY AND EAST WINDS TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3939 10032 3833 9833 3729 9989 3841 10134
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