ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/12/07 0635Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0615Z  JS
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LOCATION...WEST CENTRAL KANSAS
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...VERY SLOW MOVING AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EXPAND IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSIFY.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT APPEARS TO
BE INCREASING QUICKLY AS GROWING BATCH OF CONVECTION AT THE NOSE OF
LOW LEVEL (850MB) JET/BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS NOT MOVING MUCH AT
ALL. HAVE SEEN A SLIGHT VEERING FROM SOUTH TO SSW AND INCREASE OF
850MB WIND COMPONENT IN PROFILER SITES AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS. GOES
HIGH DENSITY WIND PLOT AND WATER VAPOR LOOP ALSO SEEM TO SHOW A SMALL
SPEED MAX MOVING ACROSS NEB/N KS WHICH ALSO HAS COINCIDED WITH THE
INITIATION. INDIVIDUAL CELLS APPEAR TO BE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE SE BUT ARE
REDEVELOPING AT THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND TRAINING OVER REGION
CENTERED AROUND NESS/HODGEMAN/RUSH/PAWNEE COUNTIES. GOES IR ENHANCEMENT
HAS BEEN REMARKABLE AS CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED QUITE DRAMATICALLY TO NEARLY
-80C OVER THE PAST HOUR. RAINFALL RATES BASED ON THIS RAPID EXPANSION AND
COOLING ARE ESTIMATED AT BETWEEN 2.0-2.5"/HR WITH ACTUAL ESTIMATED TOTALS
ALSO RISING TO OVER 2" IN THE PAST HOUR DUE TO LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT
WITH THIS ACTIVITY. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THIS SITUATION CLOSELY. AN
ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3939 10032 3833 9833 3729 9989 3841 10134
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