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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/07 2030Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2015Z	DS
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LOCATION...LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...POSSIBLE TRAINING OF CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...REMANTS OF LAST NIGHT MCS IN THE TX
PANHANDLE ARE MAKING THEIR WAY ACROSS N TX TDY JUST N OF THE DAL/FTW
AREA. COLD FRNT EXTENDING FROM THE NE US STRETCHES THE WHOLE WAY S INTO
SRN OK/N CENTRAL TX AND IT IS ALONG THIS FRNT THAT A WAVE SEEN ON VIS
IMAGERY IS INTERACTING CAUSING NEW CELL DVLPMT. CELLS ARE ORIENTED W-E
FROM COOKE COUNTY TO W LAMAR AND PER VIS IMAGERY/RADAR TRENDS LOOKS LIKE
INITIATING CELLS WILL CONTINUE INTO RED RIVER COUNTY. ADDITIONALLY SOME
STORMS ARE PRESENT DOWN THE FRONT SIDE OF THIS WAVE INTO N LA BUT EXPECT
BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAINS TO BE IN NE TX..POSSIBLY INTO SRN OK. STLT
WINDS SHOW FAIRLY UNIFORM WRLY FLOW ALONG THE TX/OK BORDER THROUGHOUT
MUCH OF THE LYR AND HORIZONTAL THETA-E MAX MATCHES UP WELL WITH CU
FIELD/HIGHEST PWATS OF 2.1-2.3" PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS VALUES. EXPECT THAT
CELL MOVEMENT SOMEWHAT SLOW DUE TO FASTER WRLYS BEING TO THE N AND THE
W-E MOVEMENT WILL CAUSE TRAINING OF CELLS. SINCE THESE COUNTIES WERE
IMPACTED BY HVY RAINS YDY EVENING AS WELL THEY WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE
TO FF PROBLEMS. INTENSE RAINBURST HAS JUST OCCURRED BETWEEN 1945-2015Z
AND ESTIMATE THAT RAIN RATES OF NEAR 2" HAVE BEEN OCCURRING FOR THAT
TIME WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT. POSSIBLE FOR AN ADDITIONAL 2-3" DEPENDING ON
HOW FAST CELLS PROGRESS EWD. SEE GRAPHIC ON WEB PAGE IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3415 9784 3366 9382 3238 9347 3330 9787
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