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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/07 0830Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0815Z  JS
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LOCATION...NW TEXAS/E NEW MEXICO
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MCS CONTINUES ITS RATHER SLOW SE MOVEMENT.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATING TECHNIQUES
ARE STILL INDICATING RAINFALL RATES OF AT LEAST 1.5"/HR WITH AROUND
2-3" MAX TOTALS IN A COUPLE OF HOURS ALONG PATH OF MCS PARTICULARLY FOR
PORTIONS OF HARTLEY/POTTER/OLDHAM/DEAF SMITH COUNTIES. AT THIS TIME THE
MOVEMENT OF THE MOST INTENSE LEADING PORTION OF THE MCS HAS BEEN ENOUGH
TO KEEP ESTIMATED TOTALS FROM EXCEEDING THESE AMOUNTS. IT APPEARS AS
THOUGH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING ALONG THE
S AND SE PORTIONS OF THE MCS AS SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL
INFLOW OVERRUNS OUTFLOW GENERATED FROM STABLE COLD POOL/MESO-HIGH
CENTERED OVER NE NM. CURRENTLY THIS THREAT AREA INCLUDES DEAF
SMITH/RANDALL/PARMER/CASTRO COUNTIES. IN ADDITION TO FAVORABLE LOWER
LEVEL/SFC CONDITIONS, IR AND WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW CIRRUS OUTFLOW
EXPANDING AROUND PERIPHERY OF MCS AS COMPLEX IS WELL POSITIONED IN A
DIFFLUENT FLOW REGIME WHICH ALSO SHOULD HELP IT TO SUSTAIN ITSELF FOR
AT LEAST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS. WILL CONTINUE TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION
TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COMPLEX IN THE EVENT RAINFALL RATES OR
HEAVY RAINFALL DURATION INCREASES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3621 10369 3617 10117 3387 10103 3382 10360
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