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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/07 0550Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0545Z  JS
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LOCATION...NW TEXAS/NE NEW MEXICO
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...TRENDS CONCERNING MCS.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BATCHES OF CONVECTION HAVE NOW
CONSOLIDATED INTO MCS WHICH IS SLOWLY PROGRESSING TO THE SE ACROSS NE
NM INTO NW TX. RADAR COMPOSITE LOOP INDICATES A CIRCULATION WITH AN
APPARENT MCV FORMING IN THE VICINITY OF HARDING COUNTY OF NE NM. OVER
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM FORMED SLOW MOVING AND MERGING
CELLS PRODUCED AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES IN THE 2-3" RANGE FOR AREA
ESPECIALLY AROUND E HARDING/N QUAY/S UNION COUNTIES OF NE NM. ACTIVITY HAS
NOW BOWED OUT SOMEWHAT ON OUTFLOW WITH RESIDUAL MODERATE RAINS AFFECTING
SPOT WHERE THE 2-3" WAS ESTIMATED. ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS
MCS STRONG CELLS WITH IR SIGNATURE OF VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE INTENSE RATES OF AT LEAST 1.5"/HR AS SEEN IN RECENT OBSERVATIONS
FROM DALHART(KDHT) TX. GIVEN THE ORGANIZED APPEARANCE ON RADAR AND IR
IMAGERY ALONG WITH FAVORABLE MOIST EAST AND SE INFLOW INTO THE COMPLEX
AND DECENT INSTABILITY PARAMETERS TO ITS SE CERTAINLY BELIEVE THIS SYSTEM
WILL REMAIN INTACT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BRINGING WITH IT
THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL INTENSE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES AS IT MOVES TO THE
SE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE INCLUDING AMARILLO AND FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3643 10145 3384 10146 3385 10417 3643 10419
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