ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/08/07 2215Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2200Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...C TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...OUN...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...SHEAR AXIS AND MOISTURE ADVECTION CONVECTION...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER LOW ON WATER VAPOR CONTINUES TO
WOBBLE SSE IN CENTRAL OK AND SHEAR AXIS SHARPENING INTO N CENTRAL TEXAS
AND A LITTLE BIT BETTER DEFINED IN C TX.  DEEP MOISTURE TRANSPORT SWLY
AT UPPER LEVELS AND SOUTHERLY IN LOW LEVELS COMBINED WITH INSTABILITY
OF LIS AROUND -6 AS PER GOES SOUNDER WILL KEEP AREA FROM COMMANCHE TO
HILL TO JOHNSON TO ERATH COUNTY ACTIVE NEXT HR OR SO.  BUT ORGANIZATION
CONFINED TO SMALL AREA...BUT RECENT HVY RAINS OVER THE PAST MONTH
ALONG WITH SYNOPTIC FEATURES WILL KEEP THIS AREA OF C TX ACTIVE TILL
AT LEAST SUNSET.  PWS ABOUT 1.7"-1.8"  AND IN GRADIENT OF MAX PWS JUST
TO THE SOUTH AND SE AND MUCH LOWER VALUES IN NW TX...SO HRLY RATES CAN
REACH 2.0" PER 30-60 MINUTES AND MULTIPLE HVY RAIN BURSTS WITH UPPER
FLOW LESS THAN 30KTS RESULTING IN ISOLATED FF.
A BIT TO THE SOUTH...CONCERN TOM GREEN/CONCHO TO COLEMAN TO MILLS/LAMPASAS
COUNTY AND HOW ESPECIALLY EAST PART OF THIS AREA DEALS WITH SOUTHERN
PORTION (HAMILTON-COMMANCHE COUNTY) OF AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE.  RIGHT NOW
THEY SHOULD STAY SEPARATE...BUT WILL KEEP AN EYE ON ANY MERGER PROSPECTS
IN THE NEXT 2 HRS AS MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD CONTINUE STEADY INTO
THOSE AREAS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL SATELLITE ANALYSIS ON WEB PAGE
ADDRESS BELOW FOR ADDED DETAILS...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3389 9697 3256 9604 3114 9845 3148 10019 3148 9996
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