ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/07/07 2030Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2015Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:  1933Z DMSP SSMI:1313Z
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LOCATION...SE AND C TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTION S CENTRAL TX SPREADING NE...C TEXAS CONVECTION...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WEAK SUBTLE LOOKING SHORT WAVE...NOT
QUITE A MCV COMING OUT OF SMALL CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IN S CENTRAL TEXAS
LAST HR OR SO.  THIS WILL CONTINUE TO HELP SPREAD CONVECTION NE ALONG
TEXAS GULF COAST.  NOW AS FAR NORTH AS MATAGORDA/S WHARTON AND WITH
INTERACTION WITH WEAK SEABREEZE FURTHER NORTH AND NE ALONG COAST COULD
SPREAD INTO HOUSTON AREA NEXT 3HRS.  GOOD THING IS THAT SUBTLE SHORT WAVE
ALSO MOVING AND NOW IN THE WILSON COUNTY AREA...SO HVY RAIN CONFINED TO
NARROW AREA WHERE ANY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW MEETS SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY FOR
EXCEPTIONAL HVY RAIN IN THOSE AREAS...BUT MAYBE NOT LASTING VERY LONG.
VERY GOOD INTERACTION WITH SEABREEZE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH CENTERED IN
NUECES WHERE CLOUD TOP TEMPS PERSISTING BELOW -70C AND MERGERS AND
REPEAT CELLS ALONG WITH SLOW MOVEMENT HELPING PRODUCE ESTIMATES OF
1.8"-2.2"/HR HERE.  ANOTHER MERGER MAY OCCUR NEAR KLEBERG COUNTY TO THE
NUECES COUNTY BORDER.  OUTFLOW CONVECTION HAVING A HARDER TIME GETTING
GOING BACK IN DUVAL AND JIM WELLS AND THAT LOOKS TO BE AT THE EXPENSE
OF NUECES COUNTY CONVECTION AND SPREADING NE OF CONVECTION ALONG INLAND
COASTAL AREAS/SEA BREEZE FURTHER NORTH.
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CENTRAL TEXAS A CONCERN ONLY BECAUSE OF SATURATED CONDITIONS.  MOVEMENT OF
CELLS SLOW...BUT MOVING...TRAINING CELLS BASICALLY SPACED APART...BUT
MOST COOLING OF CLOUD TOPS PAST HF HR IN S BELL AND SE MASON COUNTY...SO
WILL KEEP AN EYE THERE TOO NEXT FEW HRS...
GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS WILL BE ATTACHED TO THIS SPENES ON WEB PAGE ADDRESS
BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2991 10047 2976 9772 2990 9613 2951 9520 2666 9769
2746 9856
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