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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/05/07 2237Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2215Z	DS
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LOCATION...NW TENNESSEE...W KENTUCKY...S MISSOURI...N ARKANSAS...
LOCATION...NW OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...POSSIBILITY FOR A FEW MERGERS ALONG FRNT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEVERAL AREAS OF TSTORMS SPREAD OUT ALONG
THE FRNT FROM WRN OK TO N AR TO THE SE MO/W KY AREA MAY MERGE TOGETHER
OVER NEXT 1-3 HRS. TIME IS AGAINST THIS AS DIURNAL HEATING BEGINS TO
WEAKEN BUT OVER THE PAST HR OR SO NEW CELLS HAVE FORMED BETWEEN SOME OF
THE CLUSTERS..MOST NOTABLY BETWEEN CLUSTER IN NW AR AND THE CELLS IN
NE OK. STLT/RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT A MERGER IS CLOSE TO OCCURRING
INVOF WASHINGTON COUNTY IN AR AND ADAIR COUNTY IN OK. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT THESE CELLS COULD SPREAD FARTHER WWD TO INTERACT WITH THE SLOW
MOVING CELLS SW OF TULSA AS SFC WINDS FROM THE WSW SHOULD KEEP THE CELL
CLOSE TO ITS CURRENT POSITION. CELLS FARTHER W IN OK ARE MOVING FAIRLY
QUICKLY SWD ALONG THEIR OUTFLOW AND SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF A PROBLEM AS
FAR AS HVY RAINS.
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ALSO NOTICE PER VIS IMAGERY NEW CELLS FILLING IN NR THE MO/AR BORDER
INVOF FULTON/RIPLEY/OREGON/RANDOLPH COUNTIES. THIS LOOKS AS IF IT WILL
CREATE A CONTINUOUS LINE OF CELLS BETWEEN THE CNVTN IN NW AR AND THE
WEDGE SHAPED CLUSTER OF CELLS THAT HAS BEEN PRODUCING HVY RAINFALL AS
IT SINKS SWD FROM W KY/SE MO. OUTFLOW BNDRY SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY MOVING
SWWD THROUGH WAYNE/STODDARD/NEW MADRID COUNTIES IN MO WILL LIKELY HELP
TO CREATE NEW CELLS ANYWHERE THEY DO NOT ALREADY EXIST NR THE COUNTIES
DESCRIBED PREVIOUSLY ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER. EXPECT A MERGER OVER BUTLER
COUNTY WITHIN NEXT 20-40 MIN AS LINE EXTENDS WWD. ESTIMATE THAT RAINFALL
RATES OF 1.5-2"/30 MIN ARE POSSIBLE AS THESE MERGERS OCCURS. SEE WEB
ADDRESS IN 10 MIN. FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3723 8966 3622 8847 3549 9080 3546 9590 3626 9670 3659
9409
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