ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/05/07 0905Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0845Z GG
.
LOCATION...EXT S TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...CRP...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...DEVELOPING CONVECTION
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VERY DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT
REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS TX. WV LOOP SHOWS THE TROPICAL UPPER LOW WITH
A STACKED SHEAR AXIS RUNNING PARALLEL TO THE COAST FROM STARR TO WILSON
TO BRAZOS COUNTY...WHICH IS ACTING AS A MOISTURE GRADIENT AS WELL THOUGH
VALUES ARE QUITE HIGH ON EACH SIDE.  COASTAL FLOW IS GENERALLY SSWLY
WITH PWS IN EXCESS OF 2.4" WHILE NW OF THE AXIS FLOW IS NELY WITH PWS
NEAR 1.9-2.0".

NEW DEVELOPING CONVECTION CAN BE SEEN IN IR ACROSS W CAMERON AND
NORTHERN TAMAULIPAS WITH TOPS COOLING AND EXPANDING TO -60C CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING HIGH RATES OF 2"/HR DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT
THOUGH TOPS ARE NOT EXTREMELY COLD. WITH BROAD SSWLY FLOW THESE CELLS
ARE IN A TRAINING PROFILE ACROSS CAMERON AND JUDGING BY WV LOOP AND
CONTINUED REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS JUST EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF MEXICO...THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE SO A
LONGER DURATION LARGE SCALE FLOODING EVENT IS POSSIBLE.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 2739 9785 2737 9656 2504 9734 2528 9874
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-