ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/05/07 0836Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0815 GG
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LOCATION...S ILLINOIS...ECENT/SE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...STATIONARY CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MODERATELY COLD TOPPED CONVECTION HAD
REMAINED OVER S RANDOLPH COUNTY IN IL FOR THE PAST 3HR WITH A ESE TO SSE
V SHAPE WITH THE DEVELOPMENT/OVERSHOOTING TOP REMAINING ROOTED THERE.
THOUGH CORE OF CELL APPEARS TO HAVE SHIFTED SSEWARD IN THE LAST IMAGE
OR SO...NEW CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BUBBLE UP TOWARD THE WEST ALONG SOME
CONVERGENT LINE IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK MCV OR CIRCULATION FROM EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS E KS/W MO AS IT BEGINS TO ACCELERATE/SHEAR
OUT IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE OF AN INCREASING JET STREAK OVER IL/IN ALSO
AIDING IN BROAD SCALE ACCENT.  THE STRONGER WINDS COMING IN FROM THE
WEST ARE ALSO IDEAL FOR VERY SLOW MOTION/PROPAGATION VECTORS (PER RUC2).
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS LEADING TO CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AS
WELL WITH VERY HIGH MOISTURE VALUES (1.7-1.8" PER GOES SOUNDER) BEING
TAPPED FOR HIGH RATES (1.5-2.0"/HR) CAPABLE FOR FF. MANUAL SATELLITE
ESTIMATES FROM 0545Z-0815Z WERE AROUND 3.25" OVER SE RANDOLPH COUNTY.

OVER THE LAST HOUR ANOTHER AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER
ST.LOUIS METRO INTO IL.  SIMILAR ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO SUPPORT SLOW
PROPAGATION AND REDEVELOPMENT UPWIND FOR TRAINING.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3876 9056 3838 8861 3724 8938 3794 9104
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