ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/05/07 0649Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0632Z GG . LOCATION...SE NEW YORK/LONG ISLAND...N NEW JERSEY...E PENNSYLVANIA... . ATTN WFOS...BOX...OKX...PHI... ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC... . EVENT...TRAINING CONVECTION . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SHORTWAVE AND NE TO SW TROF AXIS ACROSS THE ONTARIO ISTHMUS WAS ENOUGH TO AID IN DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION ACROSS NE PA/N NJ BUT HAS FLATTENED OUT FOR FLOW ACROSS THE DISCUSSED ARE TO SET UP TRAINING CELL MOTIONS FROM THE POCONOS ACROSS NYC AND LONG ISLAND. TOPS ARE NOT VERY COLD AND SHEAR OUT QUICKLY BUT REGENERATION ALONG THE BOUNDARY IS TRAINING CONVECTION WITHIN A HIGH MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT WITH PWS OF 1.7" PER GOES SOUNDER AND GPS NETWORK. THIS HAS LEAD TO RATES OF 1-1.25"/HR WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER SHORT DURATION RATES AS STRONGEST CELLS MOVE BY SUCH AS THE CELL THAT PASSED STATEN ISLAND WITHIN THE LAST HOUR. STILL TOTALS OVER 2.5" HAVE BEEN ESTIMATED OVER THE LAST 2 HOURS OVER HUNTERDON COUNTY NJ (CLOSE TO THE LONGEST TRAINING DURATION)...AND 1.5" OVER ESSEX COUNTY NJ SO FAR. LINE APPEARS TO BE CYCLING BUT MAINTAINING TRACK THAT MOST OF LONG ISLAND COULD RECEIVE SIMILAR TOTALS. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 4124 7137 4036 7146 4038 7504 4097 7512 . NNNN