ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/04/07 1105Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1045Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...DEEPING UPPER LOW MOVING INTO SOUTH TEXAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWING UPPER LOW MOVING
INTO SOUTH TEXAS WHILE STRENGTHENING WITH IR IMAGERY SHOWING MID-LEVEL
SPIN ALSO SUGGESTING STRINGER UPPER LOW.  CONVECTION HAS BEGIN TO FIRE
IN SE TX IN RESPONSE TO THIS DEEPENING AND ONLY ADDING TO RAIN SOAKED
AREAS..ESPECIALLY INVOF MATAGORDA/CALHOUN COUNTIES AS WELL AS INVOF
MCMULLEN COUNTY WHIH IS CLOSER TO THE LOW CENTER.  SATELLITE ESTIMATES
SHOWING SOME AREAS IN REFUGIO/CALHOUN COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE MCMULLEN/LA
SALLE COUNTY BORDER RECEIVING 4.5"-5.5" IN THE LAST 2-3 HOURS.  WITH GOES
SOUNDER CONTINUING TO SHOW POOL OF 2.25" PW VALUES OFF THE TX COAST AND
QUICKSCAT WINDS SHOWING SE FLOW NOW UP TO 20KTS..EXPECTING THAT RAIN
RATES WILL BE A GENERAL 1.0"-2.0"/HR WITH UP TO 2.0"/ 30 MIN AT TIMES
UNDER MERGERS AND WITH AREAS THAT SEE TRAINING CELLS.  GOES WINDS/WV
IMAGERY SHOWING DECENT AREA OF UPPER DIVERGENCE WITH CONVECTION OFF THE
COAST OF MATAGORDA COUNTY..CURRENTLY THINKING THIS WILL LEAD TO THE
HIGHER RATES OF 3.0"-4.0"/HR WITH CONVECTION THAT MOVES ONSHORE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3091 9519 2950 9302 2627 9684 2771 9941 2971 9923 2989
9740
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