ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/03/07 0740Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0715Z   LIDDICK
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RESENT FOR CORRECTION IN PARAGRAPH 1  5KT --> 10KT SERLY FLOW
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LOCATION...TEXAS COAST...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...LINE OF CONVECTION APPROACHING TEXAS COAST
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEEING LINE OF CONVECTION STRETCHING
FROM 97W/25N TO AREA OF MORE ORGANIZED/HEAVIER CONVECTION WITH LEADING
EDGE OF COLDER TOPS APPROX 15 MILES OF THE BRAZORIA COUNTY COAST AS
OF 0715Z.  QUICKSCAT WINDS SHOWING 10KT SERLY FLOW AND GOES SOUNDER
SHOWING 2.0"-2.25" PW VALUES PROVIDING GOOD MOISTURE FLOW WITH THIS LINE.
RIGHT NOW LOOKING LIKE THE NRN EDGE OF THE LINE HAS THE MOST CHANCE TO
MAKE IT ONSHORE AS IT IS ALREADY ORGANIZED AND SRN EDGE IS ENCOUNTERING
OUTFLOW/MORE STABLE AIR FROM CONVECTION OVER EXTREME S TX/N MEXICO EARLIER
THIS EVENING.  CURRENT ESTIMATES SHOWING RAIN RATES OF 1.0"-1.5"/HR
IN GENERAL..BUT COULD PRODUCE RATES OF 1.5"-2.0"/30 MIN AT TIMES WITH
MERGERS/TRAINING THAT IS GOING ON WITHIN THE COMPLEX.  LATEST IMAGE
SHOWING SOME SWD DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE LINE WITH HEAVIER RAINS/COLDER
TOPS SHIFTING TO THE SW EDGE OF COMPLEX...WHICH COULD MEAN THE HEAVIEST
RAINS WILL STAY OFFSHORE LONGER AS THE COLD TOPS CONTINUE TO EXPAND NWD.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3027 9469 2950 9374 2578 9707 2578 9774 2823 9785 3006
9622
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