ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/03/07 0740Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0715Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...TEXAS COAST...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...LINE OF CONVECTION APPROACHING TEXAS COAST
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEEING LINE OF CONVECTION STRETCHING FROM
97W/25N TO AREA OF MORE ORGANIZED/HEAVIER CONVECTION WITH LEADING EDGE
OF COLDER TOPS APPROX 15 MILES OF THE BRAZORIA COUNTY COAST AS OF 0715Z.
QUICKSCAT WINDS SHOWING 5KT SERLY FLOW AND GOES SOUNDER SHOWING 2.0"-2.25"
PW VALUES PROVIDING GOOD MOISTURE FLOW WITH THIS LINE.  RIGHT NOW LOOKING
LIKE THE NRN EDGE OF THE LINE HAS THE MOST CHANCE TO MAKE IT ONSHORE AS
IT IS ALREADY ORGANIZED AND SRN EDGE IS ENCOUNTERING OUTFLOW/MORE STABLE
AIR FROM CONVECTION OVER EXTREME S TX/N MEXICO EARLIER THIS EVENING.
CURRENT ESTIMATES SHOWING RAIN RATES OF 1.0"-1.5"/HR IN GENERAL..BUT
COULD PRODUCE RATES OF 1.5"-2.0"/30 MIN AT TIMES WITH MERGERS/TRAINING
THAT IS GOING ON WITHIN THE COMPLEX.  LATEST IMAGE SHOWING SOME SWD
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE LINE WITH HEAVIER RAINS/COLDER TOPS SHIFTING TO
THE SW EDGE OF COMPLEX...WHICH COULD MEAN THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL STAY
OFFSHORE LONGER AS THE COLD TOPS CONTINUE TO EXPAND NWD.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3027 9469 2950 9374 2578 9707 2578 9774 2823 9785 3006
9622
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