ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/01/07 1934Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1915Z  RUMINSKI
.
LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...TSA...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...CONVECTION BREAKING OUT OVER NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ONGOING CNVTV CLUSTER PROPAGATING RAPIDLY
FROM KABI TWRD KBPG AND LEAVING A STABILIZED ATMOS IN IT/S WAKE. OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY BE FOCUS FOR ADL CNVTN GOING FORWARD. EXPECT THIS
TO HELP ENHANCE CNVTV LN FROM NR KBBD TO KSEP TO KFTW NEXT HR OR SO.
.
ADL CNVTN DEVELOPING NR LOW LEVEL CIRC CENTER NR KSPS. THIS CNVTN IS
SLOWER MVG AND WRM TOPPED AND MOST NUMEROUS BTWN KSPS AND KFSI...INCRG
LIKELIHOOD OF LOCAL CELL MERGERS THAT WILL BOOST RAIN RATES. ESTD MAX
HLF HR RAINFALL UP TO 1" WITH CURRENT TRENDS..UP TO 1.5" IN HLF HR WITH
ANY CELL MERGERS.
.
ANOTHER SURGE IS LIFTING N THRU NE TX INTO SE OK WITH AN ARC OF CNVTN
FROM NR KMEZ THRU KMLC. THIS AREA IS MAINLY MVG STEADILY AND EXPECT THIS
TO KEEP RAINFALL TOTALS DOWN IN THIS AREA.
.
BIGGER PICTURE SHOWS SOME FLATTENING OF OF NRN PORTION OF CLD PTRN ALG
MO/AR BORDER AS SHORT WV TRACKS ACRS SRN CANADA. THIS SHOULD HELP SUPPRESS
CNVTN FURTHER N ACRS N OK AND KS LATER THIS AFTN AND MAY FURTHER NUDGE
CIRC INTO TX LATER TNGT.
.
QUICK LOOK AT 1915Z IMAGE SHOWS CLD TOP TEMPS CONT TO COOL OVER WICHITA
COUNTY TX AND ALG CHOCTAW/BRYAN BORDER AND A CELL MERGER OVER COTTON
COUNTY OK.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3585 9819 3531 9474 3088 9833 3192 10188
.
NNNN