ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/01/07 1434Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1415Z	DS
.
LOCATION...S/SE TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...HVY RAINS BUILDING IN DEEP SRN TX
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWS MCS HAS NOW DIVIDED
WITH TWO AREAS OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS SEPARATING FROM ONE ANOTHER. WEDGE
SHAPED TAIL HAS BUILT SWD OVER PAST FEW HRS BUT NOW APPEARS TO HAVE
STALLED OVER KLEBERG COUNTY. AUTOMATED ESTIMATES GIVE AMOUNTS OF 1.7"
FOR PAST HR ENDING 1345Z OVER NUECES AND AROUND 1-1.2" FOR KLEBERG
COUNTY. OTHER AREA OF HVY RAINS IS RIGHT ALONG THE COAST FROM MATAGORDA
COUNTY TO GALVESTON. MORE MOD RAINS ARE PRESENT INLAND FROM THE COAST
AS THE REST OF THE MCS CONTINUES TO COLLAPSE BUT A FEW NEW CELLS HAVE
FORMED ON OUTFLOW BNDRY AND ARE VERY SLOW MOVING OVER KARNES/GONZALES
COUNTIES. MORNING PW ANALYSIS SHOWS PW VALUES AT CRP OF 2.45" SO ATMOS
ALL THROUGHOUT SE TX IS QUITE SATURATED ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED INTENSE
RAINFALL WHERE CELLS ARE PRESENT. STLT WINDS SHOW WEAK 30 KT JET STREAK
PRESENT IN THE AREA TO THE NW OF GALVESTON WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION
ALONG WITH OUTFLOW FROM MCS LIKELY CAUSING THE ENHANCEMENT OF THE CELLS
E/SE OF DAL. MAIN FOCUS FOR HVY RAINFALL THOUGH IS STILL TAIL END OF MCS
AND CAN NOT RULE OUT DVLPMT A LITTLE MORE SWD AS STRONG SFC MOISTURE CONV
LIES JUST TO THE S AND BETTER UPPER LVL DVG IS JUST OFF TO THE SW..PLUS
NEWEST VIS IMAGERY SHOWS THE TAIL EXTENDING ACROSS S JIM WELLS. SEE WEB
ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATES GRAPHIC.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3028 9556 2943 9403 2822 9614 2561 9695 2562 9818 2755
9886
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-