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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/01/07 1308Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1245Z	DS
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LOCATION...N TEXAS...SE OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CELLS ALONG FRONTAL BNDRY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FAIRLY WARM TOP CELLS ARE PRESENT
ALONG FRNT EXTENDING SW-NE FROM N CENTRAL TX INTO SE OK. LOW/MID LVL
CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE PRESENT INVOF S CENTRAL OK PER PLOT OF SFC
WINDS AND STLT/RADAR IMAGERY. STLT WINDS SHOW WEAK 40KT JET STREAK HAS
FORMED ON BACKSIDE OF COASTAL MCS FROM S CENTRAL TO NE TX. LEFT EXIT
MAY BE PROVIDING SOME UPPER LVL DVG FOR CELLS IN N CENTRAL TX..BUT NOT A
LOT. CIRCULATION NOTED ABOVE HAS CAUSED SOME SMALL..VERY WARM TOP CELLS
TO MOVE ALONG A BNDRY SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY FROM HARDEMAN/FOARD COUNTIES
SEWD TWDS YOUNG/PARKER/PALO PINTO COUNTIES OVER PAST 1-2 HRS. 1245Z
IMAGES JUST IN SHOWS CELL OVER BAYLOR COUNTY HAS STRENGTHENED IN PAST
30 MIN WITH CLOUD TOP TEMP OF -61C NOW. COULD SEE SOME PROBLEMS IF CELLS
CONTINUE TO TRAIN ACROSS THESE COUNTIES..PARTICULARLY IF THEY MAKE THEIR
WAY FARTHER S/E WHERE FFG GUIDANCE BECOMES MUCH LOWER.
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SEEMS TO BE A GOOD BIT OF DVLPMT ON VIS IMAGERY..ESPECIALLY FOR THIS TIME
OF DAY WITH A GOOD BIT OF TOWERING CU ASSCD WITH CELLS OVER COOKE/MONTAGUE
NEWD INTO SE OK. LOOKING LIKE THIS AREA WILL HAVE A FEW MERGERS OF THE
WARM TOP CELLS INTO WHAT COULD BECOME A SW-NE ORIENTED LINE. OVERSHOOTING
TOPS SEEN OVER NE BRYAN AND NW PUSHMATAHA AS OF 1245Z IMAGE. PW ANALYSIS
SHOWS STRONG MOISTURE GRADIENT ALONG FRNT WITH 1.29" AT FSI AND 1.80"
JUST TO THE S AT FWD. AUTOESTIMATOR SHOWS A SMALL AREA IN NW PUSHMATAHA
HAS HAD BETWEEN 1.5-2" OVER PAST 3 HRS. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3565 9541 3438 9461 3204 9888 3368 9989
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