ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/02/07 0833Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0915Z   LIDDICK
			HYDROESTIMATOR THROUGH 0945Z
.
LOCATION...SOUTH TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...HEAVY RAINS INVOF VICTORIA/WHARTON COUNTIES
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWING TOPS OVER
VICTORIA/DEWITT/LAVACA COUNTIES NOW COOLED TO ABOUT -70C WITH COLDEST
OVERSHOOTING TOP OF -75C OVER SE DEWITT/SW LAVACA COUNTIES AT 0745Z WITH
PW VALUES AROUND 2.0"...EXPECTING THAT SOME AREAS THERE SEEING 1.5"-2.0"
OR RAIN IN 30 MIN OR SO.  AUTOMATED ESTIMATES DOING BETTER THAN BEFORE
WITH GENERAL 1.5"-2.0" IN PAST 3 HOURS FROM KARNES COUNTY THROUGH NRN
VICTORIA/SRN LAVACA/N JACKSON AND INTO WRN WHARTON COUNTIES...WITH MANUAL
ESTIMATES SHOWING 4.0"-4.5" SINCE 0445Z THROUGH 0815Z OVER NW JACKSON/NRN
VICTORIA/ERN DEWITT/SRN LAVACA COUNTIES.

EXPECTING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAIN RATES OF 2.0"-4.0"/HR AT
TIMES AS CELLS CONTINUE TO TRAIN AND MERGE ON THE SRN EDGE.  WITH THE MCS
IN EXTREME SRN TX NOW DEAD...SRLY FLOW FLOW IS PULLING FROM 2.25"-2.5"
PW POOL ON GOES SOUNDER/MICROWAVE SITTING OFF THE SRN COAST OF TX.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR ATTACHED HYDROESTIMATOR GARPHIC AND
MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3059 9539 2886 9539 2814 9768 2914 9781 3001 9659
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Message Graphic

-

Full Size Estimate Graphic

-