ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/01/07 0700Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0645Z   LIDDICK
			HYDROESTIMATOR THROUGH 0615Z
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LOCATION...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...NORTHERN ARKANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAINS OVER NRN AR SE MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE ESTIMATES SHOWING 3.0"-4.0"
OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 2-3 HOURS INVOF SHARP/IZARD COUNTIES IN NR AR WITH
SOME LOCALIZED..ESPECIALLY IN STONE/IZARD COUNTIES..AREAS SEEING 4.5"-5.0"
SINCE 0315Z.  WITH PW VALUES NEAR 1.8" AND 2 MERGERS SEEN ON IR OVER STONE
COUNTY..ESTIMATING THAT SOME AREAS SAW 3.0"-4.0" BETWEEN 0315Z AND 0415Z.
WHILE SEEING GENERAL WARMING TOPS OVER THE AREA...STILL EXPECTING SOME
AREAS WILL SEE RATES OF 1.0"-2.0"/HR GIVEN THE ALREADY PRIMED ATMOSPHERE
AND CONTINUED COOL TOPS OVER THE AREA NOT MOVING MUCH DUE TO SPEED OF
THE COMPLEX.  CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LOOKS TO BE SHIFTING EWD WITH THE
SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE COMPLEX MOVING IN THE SAME DIRECTION.  SOME AREAS
COULD SEE RATES HIGHER THAN 2.0"/HR AT TIMES ALONG THE SE EDGE IF CELLS
TO THE S CONTINUE TO MERGE WITH THE COMPLEX.

IN SE MO...HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWING 2 AREAS OF HIGHER RAINFALL..FIRST IN
RIPLEY COUNTY WHERE 2.0"-3.0" HAVE FALLEN OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS FROM SAME
COMPLEX OVER NRN AR.  SECOND AREA IS INVOF REYNOLDS COUNTY WITH 1.0"-2.0"
IN SAME TIME FRAME FURTHER COMPOUNDING FLOODING THAT IS CURRENTLY GOING
ON IN THAT AREA.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR ATTACHED HYDROESTIMATOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3652 9058 3504 9206 3565 9260 3643 9193
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