ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/30/07 1954Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1945Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...OKLAHOMA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR EASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN IS BUILDING ACRS SE KS AND SW MO
THIS AFTN AND WILL BE AFFECTING AREAS THAT HAVE ALRDY RECEIVED HEAVY
RAINFALL PAST 24 HRS. SEVERAL FACTORS SUPPORTING CNVTN ACRS THE RGN
INCLUDING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAX (EXTENDING SSW TO ENE FROM
NR KWLD TO JUST S OF KSZL)..SEASONALLY RESPECTABLE ISENTROPIC LIFT (ON
300K SFC)..MID LEVEL TROF OF VORTICITY WITH ASCD SLOW MVG SHORT WAVE
OVER ERN KS AND MODEST 8H THETA-E ADV.
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ATTM CNVTN SEEMS TO BE ORGANIZING IN TWO DISTINCT AREAS – SE KS
FROM GREENWOOD COUNTY NEWRD INTO ANDERSON AND MIAMI AND SW MO ARND
KSGF. THE CNVTN OVER SW MO IS MORE NUMEROUS WITH COLDER CLD TOP TEMPS
SUPPORTING 1 HR RAINFALL TOTS APCHG 2" (SOMEWHAT HIGHER THAN AUTOMATED
SATELLITE ESTS). CLD TOP TEMPS OVER KS ARE NOT AS CD..HOWEVER EL LEVELS
ARE LOWER. EXPECT MUCH OF THIS ENTIRE RGN TO REMAIN UNDER THE GUN FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THRU THE EVENING AS PER LATEST HPC GUIDANCE (94E).
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QUICK LOOK AT 1945Z IMAGE SHOWS STG INFLOW CONTG INTO LAWRENCE COUNTY
IN SW MO WHICH IS SUPPORTING RAPID CLD TOP COOLING AND HEAVY RAINFALL
THERE AS CNVTV CLUSTER BACKBUILDS. CELLS OVER GREENWOOD COUNTY KS AND
NW ALLEN ARE SLOW MVG WITH SLOWLY COOLING CLD TOP TEMPS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3923 9512 3792 9266 3658 9448 3769 9758
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