ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/30/07 1917Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1845Z  RUMINSKI
.
LOCATION...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...DEVELOPING CONVECTION OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN DEVELOPING THIS AFTN ROUGHLY ALG A
LN FROM KSEP TO KPRX TO KFYV. THIS IS SLIGHTLY E OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONV MAX AXIS AND ALSO SITUATED UNDER UPR LEVEL ANTICYCLONE..BOTH
ENHANCING UVV. ADL SCT CNVTN IS ALSO POPPING W OF THIS LN IN CENTRAL OK
CLOSE TO THE WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRC.
.
MOST OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS WELL INTO THE DEEP MOISTURE (PW/S AOA
1.75") AND IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT (MAX WIND SPD IN KFWD PROFILE
IS 25 KTS IN LOW LEVELS). CNVTV LN IS MAINLY ALIGNED WITH THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR REPEAT CELLS MERGERS TO SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN
THREAT. AREA OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS NEAR HOOD AND SOMERVELL COUNTIES
WHERE A CELL MERGER IS OCRG AND ADL DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR AS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY MOVES OUT OF COMANCHE AND ERATH.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3685 9610 3608 9402 3167 9818 3236 9980
.
NNNN