ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/30/07 1030Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1015Z  HANNA
.
LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...TSA...FWD...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO INCREASE THIS MORNING ALONG DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE AXIS
FROM APPROXIMATELY MWL TO W OF MLC.  CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE FOCUSING
ALONG CONFLUENT LLJ AXIS AND IS AIDED BY SYNOPTIC DESTABILIZATION FROM
VORTICITY LOBE ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALONG WITH WHAT APPEARS TO BE A
LL CIRCULATION SW OF SPS.  MOST IMPRESSIVE FEATURE ON RECENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY IS WITH RAPID CLOUD TOP COOLING OVER COOKE COUNTY.  THERE ARE SOME
INDICATIONS THAT A SUBTLE OVERSHOOTING TOP WAS VERY NEAR THE GLE AREA
ON THE 1002Z IMAGE.  CONSIDERING EARLIER RAINFALL REPORTS WITH SIMILAR
CLOUD DEPTHS BELIEVE RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2"/HR ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
CONVECTIVE CORE.  OBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE UPSTREAM OF ONGOING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
REDEVELOPMENT WITH DOWNSTREAM TRAINING.  ALREADY SEEING EVIDENCE OF THIS
WITH RAPIDLY COOLING CLOUD TOPS ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION NW
OF MWL.  BELIEVE BEST THREAT FOR 1-2" RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
IS ALONG AN AXIS FROM N PALO PINTO COUNTY TO NW COOKE COUNTY AND THEN
EXTENDING NE TO ATOKA/COAL COUNTIES.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3544 9694 3530 9574 3349 9618 3242 9750 3292 9807 3458
9717
.
NNNN