ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/28/07 2128Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2115Z	DS
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LOCATION...E/S TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MERGING BNDRYS IN SE TX
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SAME SITUATION AS YDAY WITH OUTFLOW
BNDRY/SHEAR LINE CNVG WITH SEA BREEZE MOVING WWD OFF THE GULF IN SE
TX. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS MOISTURE CNVG HAS BEEN INCREASING HERE
OVER PAST HR AND ALSO TO A LESSER EXTENT IN NE TX. IR IMAGERY SHOWS A
FEW CELLS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE THAT ALREADY HAVE COLD TOPS MOVING W FROM
THE W HARRIS/WALLER COUNTY AREA. CELL MERGERS BETWEEN THE TWO BNDRYS ARE
LIKELY IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS WITH INDIVIDUAL CELLS THEN TRAINING NWD ALONG
A LINE THAT IS LIKELY TO RUN FROM JSUT E OF VCT TO NEAR CLL TO JUST W
OF PRX. PW ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT WHILE THERE IS RICH AVAILABLE MOISTURE
IN SE TX W OF THE SEA BREEZE BNDRY..A SLIGHTLY DRIER POCKET OF AIR IS
PRESENT IN NE TX WHICH SHOULD HELP TO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT OF CELLS ON THE
SEA BREEZE AS YOU GET FURTHER N IN E TX.
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LOOKING EVEN FARTHER S IN TX..SMALL MCS APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING SLOWLY
PER CLOUD TOP WARMING. HEAVIEST RAINS ARE NOW SEEN MOSTLY ALONG THE SE
EDGE WHERE CLOUD TOP TEMP IS NEAR -67C. SHEAR LINE IS SEEN WHERE CELLS
ARE DEVELOPING IN JIM HOGG/SE DUVAL/JIM WELLS COUNTIES AHEAD OF THE
CLUSTER. WILL LIKELY BE SOME RAPID DEVELOPMENT HERE IN THE NEXT 30-60
MIN..PROBABLY INVOF ABOVE MENTIONED COUNTIES AS THEY MERGE WITH THE SEWD
MOVING CLUSTER. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC FOR BOTH AREAS AND ESTIMATES
OVER S TX.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3368 9540 2832 9584 2554 9814 2703 9982 3360 9666
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