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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/28/07 1115Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1102Z  JS
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LOCATION...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...NEXT SIGNIFICANT BATCH OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED SOME
ORGANIZATION DURING PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY STILL SHOWS MAINLY PATCHY
ENHANCEMENT WITH ACTIVITY OVER CENT TX WHILE RADAR COMPOSITE LOOP
DOES INDICATE AREA EXPANDING IN COVERAGE AS SHORTWAVE BECOMES BETTER
DEFINED. RECENTLY SOME SIGNIFICANT COOLING OF CLOUD TOPS HAS OCCURRED
WITH SMALL BATCH OF ACTIVITY STRETCHING FROM NORTHERN LAMPASAS TO W BOSQUE
COUNTY. GIVEN THE RAPID COOLING OF CLOUD TOPS AND THE CONTINUED VERY HIGH
MOISTURE AVAILABILITY (GREATER THAN 2" PWS AND SFC TDS OVER 70F) EXPECT
HOURLY RATES COULD EASILY EXCEED 2"/HR WITH THIS ACTIVITY. OTHER AREA
OF GOOD ENHANCEMENT EXISTS WITH CELLS MOVING SE ACROSS SUTTON/KIMBLE
COUNTIES. THIS AREA HAS BEEN AFFECTED BY SEVERAL ROUNDS OF ACTIVITY
DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS SO THE LIKELIHOOD IS HIGH THAT AT LEAST
2-3" IF NOT GREATER THAN 3" HAS FALLEN THERE. FARTHER TO THE SOUTH HAVE
NOTICED SOME VERY SLOW MOVING CONVECTION CENTERED AROUND LIVE OAK/BEE
COUNTIES. AGAIN GIVEN THE HIGH MOISTURE AND SLOW MOVEMENT BELIEVE THAT
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IS DEFINITELY A THREAT HERE ALTHOUGH THE SUPPORT
IS NOT QUITE AS GOOD AS UP NORTH OF THERE. RADAR LOOPS NOW APPEAR TO
SHOW SOME CELL DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING NORTH OF THE LIVE OAK/BEE ACTIVITY
TOWARD THE SAN ANTONIO REGION SO WILL NEED TO SEE IF THIS LINKS UP WITH
CENT TX LINE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3298 9834 3251 9653 2808 9813 3054 10068
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