ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/27/07 1635Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1615Z  LIDDICK
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RESENT FOR CORRECTION IN SECOND PARAGRAPH FOR 2.0" --> 2.0"/HR
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...NARROW BAND OF WARM TOP CONVECTION
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWING WARM TOP CONVECTION
AROUND -50C WITH VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT INVOF GAGE/JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN SE
NE..WITH VIS IMAGERY SHOWING VERY SLOW SWRLY CELL MOVEMENT VERY THROUGH
REPUBLIC/JEWELL COUNTIES IN N KS WITH THE MEAN FLOW AROUND THE SFC LOW IN
CNTRL OK.  1615Z IMAGE SHOWING AN OVERSHOOTING TOP OVER RICHARDSON COUNTY.
ESTIMATING UP TO 2.0"/HR WITH THAT CELL GIVEN ALREADY MOIST ATMOSPHERE
LEADING TO EFFICIENT RAIN RATES.  ESTIMATING THAT AREAS INVOF REPUBLIC
COUNTY IN NRN KS SEEING UP TO 1.5" IN SOME AREAS SINCE 1345Z WITH THE
STEADIER RAINFALL SEEN ON THE DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION.

SEEING CONVECTION BEGINNING TO FORM IN IA/NW MO ALONG THE CONVERGENCE
ZONE OF THE FRONT AND THE SRLY FLOW FROM THE OK LOW.  SOUNDER/GPS DATA
SHOWING PW VALUES OF APPROX 1.5" IN THE AREA..SO EXPECTING RAIN RATES
UP TO 2.0"/HR AT TIMES WITH MOST INTENSE CONVECTION..ESPECIALLY INVOF
RICHARDSON COUNTY IN EXTREME SE NE WHICH IS SEEING DEEPEST CONVECTION.
NOT EXPECTING SETUP TO CHANGE MUCH WITH HEAVIEST CONVECTION CREEPING
SLOWLY SE ALONG THE FRONT..BUT STILL HAVING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
ANOTHER 1.0"-2.0" DOWNSTREAM THROUGH N CNTRL KS.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 15 MIN FOR MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4098 9466 4037 9395 3972 9699 4017 9733 4073 9588
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