ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/22/07 1120Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1100Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...N TEXAS...S OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...WEAK INSTABILITY...HIGH MOISTURE AND MOISTURE GRADIENT...WEAK
FORCING AND SLOW MOVEMENT...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE WINDS SHOWING A WELL DEFINED
SHEAR AXIS C OK TO NW TX TO THE BIG BEND.  SATELLITE HIGH LEVEL WINDS
NO STRONGER THAN 25KTS AND MUCH LIGHTER ON EAST SIDE OF SHEAR AXIS
NEAR WILLBARGER COUNTY WITH SLOW OR NO MOVING COOL TOP HVY RAIN CELLS.
MAX PW MOISTURE AXIS C TO N CENTRAL TX AND WILLBARGER COUNTY STORMS IN
EASTERN PORTION OF SHARP PW GRADIENT BETWEEN MUCH DRIER AIR/LOWER PWS
OVER NM AND MAX AREA FURTHER EAST IN THE DALLAS/FT WORTH AREA.  SO THIS
SATELLITE SIGANTURE OF THE PW GRADIENT ALSO HELPING WITH INSTABILITY.
AREA OF COOL TOP HVY RAINS COULD CONTINUE FOR SOME QUITE TIME (2 OR MORE
HRS) AS NOTHING TO MOVE THE CELLS OUT OF AREA CENTERED ON WILLBARGER
TX TO KIOWA COUNTY OK...HOWEVER KIOWA COUNTY CELL MUCH WEAKER/WARMER
LOOKING THAN THE WILLBARGER COUNTY ONE.  EXPECT VERY HVY RAIN TO STAY
CONFINED TO ONE OR TWO COUNTIES AT LEAST FOR THE SHORT TERM...CLOUDS
AND RAIN MAY STABLIZE THE AREA ENOUGH TO WEAKEN THE CELL IN THE NEXT
2-3HRS...BUT NOT READY TO FORECAST THAT YET.
FURTHER EAST IN MAX PW AREA...IMPULSES PRODUCING SOME ENHANCE PRECIP
CENTERED HOPKINS TO RED RIVER COUNTY IN NE TX.  LITTLE MORE FLOW
WILL HELP THEM MOVE ALONG A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE WILLBARGER COUNTY
CONVECTION...PLUS CELL HAS A WARMER CLOUD TOP.   WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS REPRESENTATION ON WEB SITE ADDRESS
BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3498 9916 3492 9889 3424 9529 3261 9522 3362 9956
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