ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/20/07 06112
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0600Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W AND N TEXAS...C AND S OKLAHOMA...SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...WEST AND CENTRAL PART OF MCS SETTLING SOUTH...EAST PART OF
COMPLEX TO CONTINUE AFFECTING INTERIOR NE OK INTO SE KS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MOISTURE TRANSPORT HAS SUPPORTED CONTINUED
MOSTLY SOUTHWARD PUSH TO CONVECTIVE BAND OF MCS THRU C OK PAST FEW HRS
AND S OK NOW AND THE NEXT FEW HRS...AND SOUTHWARD THRU
C AND SE TX PANHANDLE.  MORE STABILITY E CENTRAL OK AND W/NW AR AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO INTERIOR NE OK HELPING TO SUPPORT STATIONARY
CONVECTION CENTERED ON OSAGE COUNTY WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOISTURE BACK
TO THE NORTH IN SE KS.  HVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THERE NEXT 1-2HRS WITH
CONTINUED FF THREATS THAT COULD EXPAND A BIT MORE CENTERED ON OSAGE.
FURTHER WEST...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX SETTLING SOUTH WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION
GOOD AND HELPING TO PRODUCE RAIN RATES OF 1.0"-2.5" PER 30-
90 MINUTES.  NE SECTOR OF EARLIER SMALLER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER S TX
PANHANDLE MERGED WITH SW FLANK OF LARGE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AND BURST
OF HVY RAIN SE TX PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TRAIN SOUTH CHILDRESS AND
COTTLE COUNTIES NEXT HR OR SO.  DRIER AIR/MORE STABLE ATMOSP WILL KEEP
CONVECTION FROM MAKING MUCH FURTHER SOUTH THAN A LINE FROM HOCKLEY TO
KENT/STONEWALL COUNTY.
LATER TONIGHT OR IN A FEW HRS...CONCERN WILL INCREASE FAR N TX AS
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM MCS WILL CROSS RED RIVER AND THINK THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO SUPPORT HVY RAIN INTO THE FAR NORTHERN TX
COUNTIES STARTING AROUND 08Z.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS AS IT WILL
APPROACH LOW FF GUIDANCE AREAS OF N CENTRAL TX IN THE 08-12Z TIME PERIOD.
SEE GRAPHIC ANALYSIS ATTACHED TO THIS SPENES MESSAGE ON THE WEB IN ABOUT
10 MINUTES...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3709 9593 3326 9611 3314 10108 3374 10241 3535 9900
3655 9619
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