ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/19/07 1517Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1445Z	DS
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LOCATION......TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...ALABAMA...
LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...MRX...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...PAH...MEG...
ATTN WFOS...JAN...LZK...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...UPDATE ON CLUSTER OF CELLS IN NRN MS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CAN
SEE THAT CLUSTER OF CELLS THAT WAS CAUSING THE VERY HVY RAIN OVER MS
EARLY THIS MORNING AND IS THE SAME CLUSTER THAT CAUSED THE FLOODING IN
NE TX/SE OK YESTERDAY..HAS SEEMINGLY STARTED TO BREAK APART. SINCE THE
PASSING OF THE S/WV THAT CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO STALL OVER NW MS..MCV OVER
EXTREME NW AL HAS DECIDED IT IS GOING TO CONTINUE PUSHING NEWD WHILE
THE REST OF THE CLUSTER SINKS SEWD BEHIND THE S/WV. VERY WIDE AREA
OF DVG UPPER LVL STLT WINDS SEEN EMERGING FROM ERN AR AND BECAUSE OF
THIS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR TRAINING/BACKBUILDING OF CELLS ALONG A NW-SE
LINE STARTING IN ERN AR/NW MS FOR AT LEAST NEXT FEW HRS. ALREADY SEE
SOME NEW CU ON VIS IMAGERY BEGINNING TO FORM S OF THE NEW CELLS IN ERN
AR. MULTIPLE OVERSHOOTING TOPS ARE OBSERVED ON VIS IMAGERY AS WELL FROM
QUITMAN COUNTY TO OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN MS. IT IS ALONG THIS LINE THAT 3 HR
RAINFALL ESTIMATE FROM HYDROESTIMATOR  GIVES HEAVIEST AMOUNTS..2.4-2.8"
ENDING 1430Z...ALSO SHOWS A 1-1.5" AREA OF RAINFALL TRAILING BEHIND MCV
TO THE NE. VERY HIGH PW VALUES FROM MORNING PW ANALYSIS WITH OVER 2"
VALUES ASSCD WITH THE CNVTN. EXPECT COUPLE OF MERGER NEXT 1-3 HRS IN NW
MS FROM TRAINING CELLS CATCHING UP TO ORIGINAL CNVTN AND GENERAL MOVEMENT
OF CELLS TO THE SE TWDS W/CENTRAL AL. SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN ABOUT 10
MIN FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS AND ESTIMATES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3753 8627 3566 8541 3144 8644 3496 9139
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