ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/19/07 0833Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0815Z KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...N AND C MISSISSIPPI...SE ARKANSAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...MEG...JAN...LZK...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...
.
EVENT...CELL MERGERS/TRAINING/HVY RAIN BURSTS FROM DESHA COUNTY AR TO
BOLIVAR/WASHINGTON MS TO TALLAHATCHIE COUNTY MS...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...OUTFLOW FROM LEAD CONVECTIVE BANDS
MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AND N CENTRAL MS ALLOWING FOR RAPID COOLING OF
CELL CLOUD TOPS CENTERED DESHA COUNTY AR TO BOLIVAR/WASHINGTON COUNTY MS
INTO SUNFLOWER TO TALLAHATCHIE/LEFLORE COUNTY MS.  PW POOLING THIS AREA
TO NEAR 2.0"/2.2".  THIS IS STORM SYSTEM HAS SOME HISTORY TO THE COLD
TOP CONVECTION THAT PRODUCED THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN N CENTRAL TX
ABOUT 24HRS AGO. EVEN CAN SEE A LITTLE ROTATION ON THE COOLING CLOUD TOP
ELEMENTS CENTERED SE AR CENTERED DESHA COUNTY AR THRU BOLIVAR/N WASHINGTON
AND INTO SUNFLOWER COUNTY MS.  WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON ANY TRAINING
CELLS THAT COULD HELP PRODUCE 1-2 INCHES PER 30-45 MINUTES AND GREATER
THAN 2-3 INCHES IF THE STORM HVY RAIN BURSTS CAN LAST MORE THAN 1.5
HRS. MOST CONCERNED WITH TALLAHATCHIE RIGHT NOW WITH SOME TRAINING CELLS
AND HVY RAIN BURSTS...BUT WITH BOUNDARY DOWN THRU LEFLORE COUNTY...THAT
COUNTY COULD CATCH MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER STORMS
THAT MAY APPROACH INTO THE NEXT 1-2HRS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND WILL SEND A GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS TO THE WEB
ADDRESS BELOW IN ABOUT 10 MINUTES...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3457 8967 3452 8910 3360 8925 3245 9033 3376 9173
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Message Graphic

-

Full Size Estimate Graphic

-