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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/17/07 1857Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1845Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...N MINNESOTA...E AND NE NORTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...DLH...FGF...BIS...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MOST CONCERN FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...IMMEDIATE
CONCERN N CENTRAL TO NE MN...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MAIN UPPER LOW/TROUGH MOVING EAST ACROSS
W MONTANA AND IDAHO.   DRY AIR ALREADY BEGINNING TO FILTER IN ACROSS
E MONTANA AND WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND BY THE TIME CONVECTION FIRES UP
AHEAD OF SHORT WAVES THAT ARE AHEAD OF MAIN LOW AND TROUGH...
CENTRAL ND MAY BE OUT OF THE WOODS FOR HVY RAINFALL...BUT WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON THAT.  MOST CONCERN FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING EAST PART
OF NORTH DAKOTA...SPECIFICALLY NE QUARTER THRU N MN INTO TONIGHT AS E MT
AND W ND SHORT WAVES AND E MONTANA SPEED MAX START DESTABILZING ATMOSPHERE
ALONG WITH INTERACTING WITH HIGHEST PW MOISTURE THAT IS OVER 150 PERCENT
OF NORMAL AND CAN RESULT IN VERY HVY RAIN BURSTS.  ANY BURSTS THAT TRAIN
ALONG FLOW CAN RESULT IN MULTIPLE BURSTS OF HVY RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN E ND AND NW MN.  CURRENTLY CONVECTIVE WEDGE HUNG UP IN
N CENTRAL TO NE MN VIC OF KOOCHICHING THRU N ST LOUIS TO N LAKE COUNTY
IN WARM FRONTAL PATTERN...NOT SURE ENOUGH YET FOR FF CONCERNS AS HIGH
MOISTURE TRYING TO GET IN...BUT AM CONCERNED ABOUT WEST PORTION OF WEDGE
IN KOOCHICHING COUNTY THAT MAY HANG ON REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
KICKER UPSTREAM.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS AT
END OF WEB SITE MESSAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4983 9724 4933 9027 4705 9083 4708 9967 4893 10070
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