ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/16/07 0816Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0802Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN WITH MCS IN THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCS CONTS PLODDING ALONG TO THE ESE
THRU THE HILL COUNTRY. NOTABLE TREND PAST CPL OF HRS IS CNVTN ALG SRN
PORTION OF COMPLEX HAS BECOME MORE DOMINANT IN TERMS OF ORGANIZATION
AND CD CLOUD TOPS. CONVECTIVELY INDUCED CIRCULATION APPARENT IN COMMA
FEATURE SEEN IN BOTH RADAR AND SATELLITE FROM GILLESPIE TO MEDINA. CNVTN
FURTHER N FROM BURNET TO CORYELL HAS SHOWN SOME MODEST WARMING.
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WITH DEVELOPMENT OF COMMA FEATURE AREA OF CONCERN FOR HEAVIEST RAINFALL
WILL BE IN COMMA HEAD NEXT CPL OF HRS AS THIS AREA WILL SEE PROLONGED PD
OF HEAVY RAIN. IN ADDITION..INTERACTION WITH CNVTN FURTHER N WILL ALLOW
FOR SOME MERGING FOR ENHANCED RAIN RATES. COUPLED WITH DEEP MOISTURE
SUPPLY EXPECT LOCALIZED RAINFALL UP TO 2-3" IN AN HR. AREAS OF MOST
IMMEDIATE CONCERN ARE BLANCO..HAYS AND TRAVIS COUNTIES. WITH MSESCALE
ORGANIZATION AND GOES DERIVED PW/S ARND 1.75" AND LI/S -5 TO -6 EXPECT
THAT CNVTN WILL CONT PAST SUNRISE THROUGH THE MRNG HRS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3155 9711 2901 9710 2897 9985 3153 9980
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