ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/15/07 0757Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0745Z  RUMINSKI
.
LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...TSA...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...ADDITIONAL CONVECTION OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL TRAIN OVER
AREAS ALREADY SATURATED FROM ERARLIER RAINFALL.
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN THAT FORMED OVER HASKELL HAS TRACKED
TO THE NW ACRS MCINTOSH..MUSKOGEE AND OKMULGEE COUNTIES AND INTO CREEK
COUNTY. SOME OF THESE AREAS HAVE ALRDY RECEIVED HVY RAIN EARLIER WITH FF
WARNINGS CURRENTLY ONGOING IN CREEK COUNTY. PLENTY OF MOISTURE STILL IN
PLACE TO SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN WITH SFC TD/S IN U60S AND GOES DERIVED PW/S
INDICATING 1.7". CELL MERGER OVER OKMULGE BTWN 645-715Z GAVE ESTD HALF
HR RAINFALL OF 1.5" (AUTOMATED SATELLITE TECHNIQUES ARE TOO LIGHT WITH
RAINFALL AMNTS AND NOT CONSIDERED HERE). WITH MOISTURE CHANNELLED OVER
ERN OK AND TRAINING CNVTN ATMOS IS LOCALLY SATURATED MAKING FOR HIGHLY
EFFICIENT RAIN PROCESS.
.
MID LEVEL VORT CONTS TO TRACK TO THE SE ALG THE RED RIVER VALLEY INVOF
JACKSON AND TILLMAN COUNTIES. THIS WILL CONT TO KEEP NE OK IN FAVORABLE
AREA FOR REPEAT WARM TOPPED CNVTN AND ENHANCED DYNAMICS TO SUPPORT ADL
HEAVY RAIN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS.
.
QUICK LOOK AT 0745Z IMAGE SHOWS CNVTV CLD TOPS CONT TO EXPAND OVER NRN
CREEK AND TULSA COUNTIES INDICATING INCRG CNVTN AND HIGHER RAIN RATES.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3638 9682 3636 9522 3522 9514 3531 9683
.
NNNN